Geopolitical Weekly

Re-Examining the Arab Spring

If the assumptions on the Arab Spring of this past January and February prove insufficient or even wrong, then there will be regional and global consequences.

Germany's Choice: Part 2

For Germany, neither option was pleasant: Write off the possibility of Europe becoming a great power or underwrite two trillion euros of government debt. Germany has now decided.

The U.S.-Saudi Dilemma: Iran's Reshaping of Persian Gulf Politics

A competition between the United States and Saudi Arabia to reach a deal with Iran has put Iran in a strong short-term regional position. The Iranians are in a race against time, however, to cement this advantage before Turkey assumes its dominant role on the regional stage.

Libya and the Problem with The Hague

Rather than serving as a tool for removing war criminals from power, international law tends to enhance their power and remove incentives for capitulation.

Russia's Evolving Leadership

After a decade of aggression, authoritarianism and nationalism, Russia has become strong enough again both internally and in its region that its leadership is sufficiently confident to shift policies and plan for its future — all the while being carefully managed behind the scenes.

The Divided States of Europe

The real European crisis is not the Greek economy but the evolving regionalization of the Continent.

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Greece Postpones a Crisis

Greece must clear a series of obstacles in the coming months if it hopes to complete its bailout program.

Jihadism in 2014: Jihadist Franchises

The rift between al Qaeda and the Islamic State has produced scores of local splits within regional jihadist groups, and will ultimately weaken both of them.