If the history of multilateralism is any indication, it often takes hierarchy to get things done.
While North Korea grabs global attention, South Korea has its own complexities and interests which at times are at odds with the United States.
By Rodger Baker
France's 2017 presidential election could determine more than just who the country's next president will be. After years of economic decline and shaken by terrorist attacks at home and elsewhere in Europe, many French voters are disenchanted with traditional political parties, dubious of the country's economic prospects, and uncertain of its role in Europe and the world. During the next presidential election, set for April 2017, voters will reveal the extent of change in France, setting the course of the country's future and that of the European Union as a whole.
Whether planning terrorist attacks or preventing them, wins by either side are often only temporary because of the rapidly shifting nature of the threat environment.
Whether it’s politics by other means or the economy, stupid, these intertwining forces greatly influence how terrorist organizations form, act and pick targets.
Even if the jihadist group can find a replacement for one of its best propagandists, Ahmad Abousamra, he may never truly fill his predecessor's shoes.
For intelligence officers, there's nothing like a mother's love -- especially if she has access to classified information. The recent arrest of a U.S. State Department employee who allegedly had been working with Chinese intelligence highlights this fact.
Colombia is not an easy country to govern. Its mountains and jungles have historically harbored towns and villages that have wildly different political worldviews and that have been in constant conflict since the country's independence in 1810. Political identity -- left or right -- has long been a defining feature of Colombia's isolated towns, particularly those in Antioquia department. It is in this context that in 1977 embattled rancher Ramon Isaza gathered forces in the sleepy river town of Puerto Boyaca to fight the FARC forces terrorizing his community.
By Diego Solis
Any place elite barons of authority convene can, at least temporarily, join the ranks of the world's important spaces. In countries where power is contested, a hotel's neutral space might be the only option for political or military rivals to engage in talks or to trade information, though this can also attract intelligence agency surveillance.
Geography shapes crime around the globe. And in Guatemala's linguistically and geographically fragmented hinterlands, isolation has begotten ungoverned spaces, which, in turn, have helped to foster state corruption and organized crime.
By Diego Solis
I watched the final days of the U.S. presidential campaign from South Korea, where tens of thousands marched through the streets of Seoul, demanding the resignation of their president, and Hong Kong, where hundreds to thousands of residents clashed with police to protest China's interference in Hong Kong law.
By Rodger Baker
Oftentimes when we think about the Southern Cone, we think only of Brazil and Argentina. The mammoth countries have historically competed with each other to control trade and infrastructure in the Rio de la Plata Basin. But Uruguay and Paraguay play an important, if often overlooked, role in that dynamic, acting as a buffer between Argentina and Brazil.
By Diego Solis
A walk through Nicosia, the Cypriot capital, highlights the divided country's enduring challenges. Whether through economic pressures from the east and west or through the lingering divisions between its north and south, Cyprus must contend with challenges from all directions.
Nearly a month has passed since American voters gave the presidency, seemingly against all odds, to Donald Trump. And for nearly a month a global chorus of pundits, pollsters and media prophets have asked: How did just about everyone get it wrong? Amid the hand-wringing, the list of culprits is long: Skewed models of voter bases. The demise of landline telephones. Underestimates of "lapsed voters." The evolution of game-changing social media. Wishful thinking.
Stratfor is a unique company, and that very uniqueness that makes us difficult to pin down, open as we are to so many interpretations. So it's time to try to pull back the curtain on who we are, what we do and how we do it. Welcome to our new column, Stratforium.
Journalism tells you what you want to know. Stratfor tells you what you need to know. We co-exist in this ecosystem, but geopolitical intelligence is scarcely part of the journalistic flora and fauna.