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Feb 4, 2013 | 11:00 GMT

Geopolitical Calendar: Week of Feb. 4, 2013

Stratfor

Editor's Note: The following is an internal Stratfor document listing significant meetings and events planned for the next week. Stratfor analysts use this document to stay informed of the activities and travel of world leaders and to guide their areas of focus for the week.

EUROPE

  • Feb. 4: German Chancellor Angela Merkel will meet with Spanish Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy in Berlin to hold preparatory talks ahead of the EU summit. 
  • Feb. 4: Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan will meet with Czech President Vaclav Klaus and Prime Minister Petr Necas during a visit to the Czech Republic.
  • Feb. 5: Erdogan will meet with Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orban and President Janos Ader in Hungary.
  • Feb. 5: The European Union will host a conference to discuss the situation in Mali. Officials from the United Nations, the African Union and the Economic Community of West African States will travel to Brussels. 
  • Feb. 5: French President Francois Hollande is expected to present his vision for the European Union in a speech before the European Parliament. 
  • Feb. 6: Employees of three Spanish banks (Bankia, Banco de Valencia and Novagalicia Banco) are expected to strike against layoffs. 
  • Feb. 6: Erdogan is expected to visit Slovakia and meet with Slovak Prime Minister Robert Fico and President Ivan Gasparovic.
  • Feb. 6: The Croatian and Slovenian foreign ministers will meet with financial experts from both countries to discuss a bilateral dispute about Nova Ljubljanska Banka.
  • Feb. 7: EU leaders will meet for a two-day summit in Brussels to discuss the EU 2014-2020 budget. 
  • Feb. 8: In Italy, local public transport workers are expected to strike for 24 hours. 

FORMER SOVIET UNION

  • Feb. 4: Russia's chief sanitarian, Gennady Onishchenko, will hold negotiations with the Georgian delegation on returning Georgian wine and mineral waters to the Russian market.
  • Feb. 4: An opposition rally called For Fair Elections is expected to be held in Moscow. 
  • Feb. 4: Michael Ruhle, the head of the Energy Security Section in NATO's Emerging Security Challenges Division, will visit Azerbaijan to discuss threats against security in the Caspian region with several government officials.
  • Feb. 6: Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili is expected to address the parliament for his last time as president.
  • Feb. 10: Kazakhstan is expected to open the border to dairy products from Kyrgyzstan.

SOUTH ASIA

  • Unspecified date: Indian Petroleum and Natural Gas Minister M. Veerappa Moily will visit the United States. During his visit, Indian state-owned natural gas company GAIL will sign agreements to purchase U.S. shale gas. 
  • Unspecified date: Top Gazprom officials will visit Bangladesh to inaugurate an onshore natural gas well, Gazprom's first drilling works in the country. 
  • Feb. 8: Officials of the Indian states of Meghalaya and Assam will meet to discuss security in the run-up to local elections in the restive northeastern region of India, which borders Myanmar's own restive north. 
  • Feb. 8: Sri Lankan President Mahinda Rajapaksa will visit Bodh Gaya in the Indian state of Bihar.
  • Feb. 9: Indian Foreign Secretary Ranjan Mathai will visit Dhaka for three days to join the Foreign Office Consultations between India and Bangladesh.

EAST ASIA

  • Unspecified date: The Chinese Defense Ministry announced that the navy will hold deep-water anti-submarine drills in the Pacific. 
  • Feb. 3-7: Su Tseng-chang, chairman of Taiwan's opposition Democratic Progressive Party, will lead a delegation of lawmakers from his party to Tokyo, Japan. Among other issues, Su will discuss the currently ongoing dispute over the Senkaku/Diaoyu Islands involving Taiwan, China and Japan. 
  • Feb. 4-5: Thai Deputy Prime Minister Chalerm Yubamrung will visit Malaysia to meet with former Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad.
  • Feb. 4-5: French Prime Minister Jean-Marc Ayrault will visit Thailand to attend events aimed at boosting Thai-French economic and strategic cooperation. 
  • Feb. 4-7:  Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference Chairman Jia Qinglin will visit Malaysia to inaugurate the Malaysia-China Kuantan Industrial Park.
  • Feb. 6: The earliest tentative date for the start of RMB-denominated transactions in Taiwan, according to the Chinese central bank.
  • Feb. 6: Officials from the Mongolian Ministry of Mining will meet with representatives of Rio Tinto to discuss a renegotiation of spending requirements over Rio Tinto's concession of the Oyu Tolgoi copper-gold mine. 

AMERICAS

  • Feb. 4-8: Indian Steel Minister Beni Prasad Verma will lead a delegation to Brazil to look for iron and steel asset acquisitions. 
  • Feb. 5: EU Trade Commissioner Karel De Gucht will travel to the United States to discuss the start of EU-U.S. free trade agreement negotiations. 
  • Feb. 6: Activists will protest in San Jose, Costa Rica, against the use of genetically modified crops. 
  • Feb. 6: Public transport workers in Mexico City will mobilize to protest for higher transport fees. 
  • Feb. 6-7: Argentine Foreign Minister Hector Timerman will travel to the United Kingdom to hold talks on the Falkland/Malvinas Islands. 
  • Feb. 7: A tax information exchange agreement between Argentina and Uruguay will come into effect.

MIDDLE EAST/NORTH AFRICA

  • Feb. 4-5: Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono will continue his visit to Saudi Arabia.
  • Feb. 4-7: The Organization of the Islamic Conference summit will continue in Egypt.
  • Feb. 6: Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad will travel to Cairo to attend the summit meeting of the Organization of the Islamic Conference summit.
  • Feb. 6: Pakistan's Supreme Court will hear a petition against President Asif Ali Zardari for violating the constitution by continuing to hold the leadership of the ruling Pakistan People's Party. 
  • Feb. 6: Turkish President Abdullah Gul will attend the Organization of the Islamic Conference summit in Cairo.

AFRICA

  • Feb. 4: This is the deadline for the South Sudanese army to withdraw from a designated military buffer zone with Sudan. The 22.5-kilometer (14-mile) buffer zone between the two countries is part of the agreement signed in September 2012. 
  • Feb. 4-7: The world's largest mining investment conference will be held in Cape Town, South Africa. CEOs, NGO representatives and World Bank officials will attend.
  • Feb. 4-8: Zimbabwe's parliament will debate the new draft constitution, which proposes a term limit on the presidency and the abolition of the position of prime minister.

 

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