Geopolitical Diary
Editor's Choice

The Other Ukrainian Crisis

While most of the West focuses on Russia's next moves, it may be Ukraine's internal politics that determine the future of the region.

Decade Forecast: 2015-2025

The United States' role as the pre-eminent power will be the sole constant in a decade of political fragmentation, economic shifts and changes in regional power structures.

Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

Netanyahu, Obama and the Geopolitics of Speeches

Global Affairs
By Ian Morris
Ian Morris

The Not-So-New Europe

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

What is Your Best Weapon?

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Field Notes
Stratfor In The News
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Mark Fleming-Williams on Greece Bailout Talks

Live interview with Stratfor's economy analyst on CBC's prime time business program "The Exchange" to provide commentary on the different scenarios that could result from ongoing talks between the EU and Greece.

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Situation/Intelligence Reports

Sri Lanka: Cabinet Approves To Suspend Chinese Project

On the eve of Indian Foreign Minister Sushma Swaraj's visit to Sri Lanka, the Sri Lankan Cabinet suspended the $1.5 billion Chinese-funded Colombo Port City project because of corruption allegations, Colombo Page reported March 5.

Venezuela: Central Bank Suspends Foreign Exchange Auction

The Venezuelan Central Bank has suspended a planned foreign exchange auction through the recently implemented Marginal Foreign Exchange System, Ultimas Noticias reported March 5, citing unidentified financial sector sources.

U.S., Iran: Understanding Reached On Operations In Iraq

New reports have emerged on Washington and Tehran's "special understanding" on operations against the Islamic State in Iraq, Ashraq Al Awsat reported March 5.

Syria: Ousting President May Require Military Pressure, U.S. Official Said

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said a combination of diplomacy and military pressure might be needed to bring about a political transition in Syria, AFP reported March 5.

Yemen: Al-Houthis Take National Dialogue Headquarters

Yemen's al-Houthi rebels took control of an office in Sanaa that had been promoting a national dialogue to end the country's political turmoil, The Daily Star reported March 5.

Libya: Government In Tobruk Attacks Tripoli Airport, Calls Temporary Cease-Fire

Warplanes from Libya's internationally recognized government, which operates out of Tobruk, targeted an airport in Tripoli where a rival government operates, Reuters reported March 5.

Saudi Arabia: Official Urges U.S. Coalition To Fight On The Ground

Saudi Foreign Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal called on the U.S.-led coalition to join the fight against the Islamic State on the ground in Syria and Iraq, AFP reported March 5.

Zimbabwe: U.S. Extends Sanctions

The United States has increased its sanctions against Zimbabwean President Robert Mugabe and his inner circle even as the European Union softens its stance toward the country, Africa Review reported March 5.

U.S.: Washington Considers Deploying Advanced Defense System

A senior U.S. Army general said the United States is considering sending its Terminal High Altitude Area Defense system to the Middle East and to South Korea, but no decision has been made, Reuters reported March 5.

Russia: U.S. Troops In Lviv A Threat To Russia, Spokesman Says

The United States is sending 300 troops to Ukraine’s Lviv region for joint military exercises from March 5 to October 31, TASS reported March 5.

Russia: Military Exercises Conducted In Border Regions

More than 2,000 Russian anti-air defense personnel have begun military drills in the Crimea, Southern and North Caucasus and Russian bases in Armenia, South Ossetia and Abkhazia, Sputnik News reported March 5, citing the press service of Russian Defense Ministry’s South Military Region.

Syria: Al-Nusra May Cut Al Qaeda Ties

Leaders of Jabhat al-Nusra consider cutting their ties with al Qaeda to establish a new movement backed by some of the Gulf states opposing Syrian President Bashar al Assad, Reuters reported March 5.

Azerbaijan: Caspian Sea Talks Progress, Minister Says

The deputy foreign ministers of the Caspian littoral states have agreed on certain provisions of a draft convention regarding the Caspian Sea’s legal status, Trend news agency reported March 5, citing Azerbaijani Deputy Foreign Minister Khalaf Khalafov.

Russia: Forex Trading Suspended

Russia's Moscow Exchange announced it has temporarily suspended trading in the foreign exchange and precious metals markets, Kommersant reported March 5, adding that trading will resume at 12:40 p.m. local time.

South Korea: U.S. Ambassador Attacked

The United States Ambassador to South Korea was injured in a razor attack carried out by a man claiming to be from the Woori Madang social activist group, Stratfor sources reported March 4.

Mexico: Oil Workers Planning Protests

Workers from state-owned energy firm Petroleos Mexicanos, known as Pemex, will protest in several areas of the country March 18 to stop the layoffs of thousands of employees, Reforma reported.

Mexico: Arrest Of Drug Lord Could Speed Up Fracture Of Los Zetas

Mexican federal troops captured Los Zetas’ top leader, Omar "Z-42" Trevino Morales, on March 4 in San Pedro Garza Garcia, Nuevo Leon state.

Iran, U.S.: Leaders Will Continue Talks March 15

Iran and the United States will continue nuclear talks March 15, Fars News Agency reported March 4.


Decade Forecast: 2015-2025

The United States' role as the pre-eminent power will be the sole constant in a decade of political fragmentation, economic shifts and changes in regional power structures.