Geopolitical Diary
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By Reva Bhalla
Reva Bhalla

The Geopolitics of the Syrian Civil War

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By Philip Bobbitt
Philip-Bobbitt

Balancing Hopes and Fears in the Middle East

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By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

A Tactical Assessment of the Islamic State's Bombing Operations

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Fox News

Stratfor's Fred Burton on Egypt's Security Situation and Intelligence Challenges

In a panel interview on Fox News' DEFCON 3 program, Burton, who is also a former U.S. State Department counterterrorism agent, says he can recall "working cases in Egypt years ago and you would have a tremendous amount of cooperation ... and one thing that frightens me today is I’m not so sure that same kind of liaison exists."

Fox News
Situation/Intelligence Reports

Colombia: National Liberation Army Talks Will Be Announced Before September

Former National Liberation Army (ELN) member Carlos Velandia said peace talks between the militant group and the Colombian government will be announced before September, Caracol Radio reported Aug. 4. Read more…

Nigeria: President Appoints New State Oil Company Head

Nigerian President Muhammadu Buhari replaced Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Group Managing Director Joseph Thlama Dawha with Emmanuel Kachikwu on Aug. 2, Premium Times Nigeria reported. Read more…

Iraq: U.K. Extends Air Mission Until 2017

The United Kingdom is extending its participation in U.S.-led airstrikes in Iraq against the Islamic State by another year to March 2017, British Defense Secretary Michael Fallon said, AFP reported Aug. 4. Read more…

Italy: Contentious Reform Measures Passed

The Italian Senate approved Prime Minister Matteo Renzi’s contentious slate of civil service reforms Aug. 4, ANSA reported. Read more…

Brazil: Anti-Corruption Probe Widening

The Brazilian government's ongoing anti-corruption probe, known as Operation Car Wash, is accumulating enough evidence and material to expand the investigations to other sectors of the economy and to scrutinize more politicians, Valor reported Aug. 4. Read more…

Syria: Jihadists Reportedly Capture 5 More U.S.-Trained Rebels

The al Qaeda-linked Jabhat al-Nusra militant group captured five more U.S.-trained rebels in Syria on Aug. 4, activists with the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said, The Daily Star reported. Read more…

India: Peace Accord Reached With Nagaland Rebels

The Indian government signed a peace deal Aug. 3 with the National Socialist Council of Nagaland (NSCN-IM), a leading tribal separatist group that has waged guerrilla warfare against the state in northeastern India for more than six decades, AFP reported Aug. 4. Read more…

Turkey: Another Explosion Halts Pipeline Flows

A section of the Baku-Tblisi-Erzurum natural gas pipeline exploded Aug. 4 in northeastern Turkey’s Kars province, halting the flow through the line, Trend and Anadolu Agency reported. Read more…

Israel: Mortar Shells Hit Golan Heights

Two mortar shells hit the northern Golan Heights on Aug. 3, causing no injuries, the Israel Defense Forces said, Times of Israel reported. Read more…

Yemen: Pro-Hadi Forces Recapture Al-Anad Air Base

Forces loyal to embattled Yemeni President Abd Rabboh Mansour Hadi recaptured al-Anad air base Aug. 3, Reuters reported. Read more…

Nigeria: Military Rescues 178 Hostages From Militant Group

The Nigerian military said in an Aug. 3 statement that it had rescued 178 people, including 101 children and 67 women, from Wilayat al Sudan al Gharbi, formerly known as Boko Haram, BBC reported. Read more…

Mali: 10 Soldiers Killed In Attack On Base

Unidentified gunmen attacked Mali's Gourma Rharous base Aug. 3 killing at least 10 army personnel, Reuters reported. Read more…

Yemen: Loyalist Troops Launch Operation To Regain Air Base

Forces loyal to Yemeni President Abd Rabboh Mansour Hadi, equipped with tanks and armored vehicles, surrounded Yemen's al Anad air base Aug. 2 in preparation for an offensive to retake it from Houthi rebels, AFP reported Aug. 3. Read more…

Syria: U.S. To Provide Air Support For Rebels, Potentially Against Government Troops

The United States will allow airstrikes to back the rebel groups it is supporting against any attackers, including those loyal to Syrian President Bashar al Assad, Reuters reported Aug. 3. Read more…

Yemen: Political Settlement Still Possible, Rebel Leader Says

Yemeni rebel leader Abdul-Malik al-Houthi said in an Aug. 2 speech that a political settlement with the country’s exiled government was still possible, despite the ouster of the Iran-backed rebels by their Saudi-backed counterparts from the port city of Aden, AFP reported Aug. 3. Read more…

Spain: Catalonia Expected To Call Early Elections

Catalan President Artur Mas is expected to sign a decree scheduling early regional elections for Sept. 27, thelocal.es reported Aug. 3. Read more…

Syria: Russia May Give Up On Al Assad, Turkish President Says

Russian President Vladimir Putin may give up on Syrian President Bashar al Assad and withdraw the Kremlin’s wholehearted support for him in the future, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said Aug. 3, AFP reported, citing Daily Sabah. Read more…

Ukraine: $1.7 Billion IMF Installment Forthcoming, Ministry Says

Ukraine expects to receive the second tranche, worth around $1.7 billion, of International Monetary Fund funding in the coming days, according to a Ukrainian Finance Ministry statement posted Aug. 3, UNIAN reported. Read more…

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