Geopolitical Diary
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Dead Lines for Iran and Greece

An extension of Iran's nuclear talks will complicate, but not end, negotiations, while Greece's missed debt repayment deadline will have heavier consequences. Read more…

Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

The Greek Vote and the EU Miscalculation

Global Affairs
By Philip Bobbitt
Philip-Bobbitt

Strategy in Real Time: Dueling with an Enemy That Moves

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Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

Protective Intelligence Lessons From the Barakat Assassination

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Stratfor In The News
NBC News

Stratfor's Scott Stewart on Obama's Strategy for Training Iraqi Troops

Up to now, the U.S. training has typically focused on Shiites and Kurds. "In many ways, it's a continuation of the same thing," said Scott Stewart, a terrorism and security analyst at the global intelligence firm Stratfor. "It's an expansion of the training, and in a logical direction with Sunnis."

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Situation/Intelligence Reports

Iran: Talks Resume, Short Extension Possible

Tehran and foreign ministers from the P5+1 negotiating group have resumed negotiations in Vienna over the Iranian nuclear program, unnamed Russian and Iranian sources said July 7, Sputnik and IRNA reported. Read more…

Iraq, Syria: U.S. President Gives Speech On Islamic State Strategy

U.S President Barack Obama made a live televised speech following a meeting at the Pentagon with military leaders and advisors to discuss progress against the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, Associated Press reported. Read more…

Greece: New Proposal Will Be Discussed At Eurozone Summit

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras and German Chancellor Angela Merkel agreed July 6 that Greece would present its proposals to a eurozone summit July 7, Ekathimerini reported. Read more…

Egypt: Security Forces Round Up Brotherhood Members

Egyptian security forces have detained 63 members of the Muslim Brotherhood for committing and inciting acts of violence, the Interior Ministry said July 5, Middle East Monitor reported July 6. Read more…

Nigeria: Twin Blasts Kill 44 In Jos

Suspected Islamist militants staged two explosions in central Jos, killing some 44 and wounding dozens of others, Vanguard reported July 6. Read more…

Tanzania: Lawmakers Pass Controversial Oil Bill

Tanzania's Parliament approved a regulatory framework for developing the country's hydrocarbons industry July 5, after days of debate, Reuters reported July 6. Read more…

Yemen: Government Expects Cease-Fire Soon

Yemen's internationally recognized government has said it expects to reach a deal on a cease-fire soon, Reuters reported July 6. Read more…

Syria: Army, Hezbollah Advance On Key Town

The Syrian army and Hezbollah fighters on July 5-6 advanced on Syrian rebel factions in Zabadani, the last rebel-held town in the Qalamoun region near the Lebanese border, unnamed Hezbollah sources and other security sources said, The Daily Star reported. Read more…

Iran: Agreement Reached On Parallel Steps To Lift Sanctions, Curb Nuclear Development

Iran and the P5+1 group of international negotiators approved the concept of parallel steps to lift sanctions on Iran while Tehran limits its nuclear program, an unnamed senior source in the Iranian delegation said July 6, Sputnik reported. Read more…

Turkey: Military Moves Missiles, Artillery To Syrian Border

The Turkish military has moved a large number of missile fuses and artillery to the Syrian border near the Turkish province of Kilis, World Bulletin reported July 6. Read more…

Greece: European Leaders To Meet July 7

European leaders will meet July 7 in Brussels for an emergency summit to discuss the next steps in the Greek economic crisis, EU Observer reported July 6. Read more…

Jordan: Iran-Backed Attack Foiled, Source Says

Jordanian authorities foiled an attack to be carried out by an Iraqi man on behalf of Iran’s Quds Force, the foreign operations arm of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, an unnamed source in Jordan’s judiciary said July 6, AFP reported. Read more…

Greece: Productive Negotiations Still Possible, French And Italian Leaders Say

Greece’s referendum rejecting Europe’s bailout terms solves nothing, and serious, solid proposals from the Greeks could still produce solid discussions, French Finance Minister Michel Sapin said July 6. Read more…

Greece: Finance Minister Resigns

Greek Finance Minister Yanis Varoufakis resigned July 6, according to a statement on his website. Read more…

Greece: European Leaders To Meet, Opposition Leader Resigns After Greeks Vote 'No'

Greek opposition leader Antonis Samaras resigned July 5 after 61 percent of Greeks voted no in the Greek referendum, Samaras said, The Telegraph reported. Read more…

U.S.: Iran Nuclear Deal Possible By Deadline, Secretary of State Says

An Iranian nuclear agreement is possible by the July 7 deadline if Iran makes the "hard choices" necessary, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said July 5, Reuters reported. Read more…

Greece: Opinion Polls Put No Vote Slightly Ahead

Opinion polls released after Greece's referendum July 5 showed the no vote ahead, though within the margin of error, polls said, Reuters reported. Read more…

Greece: Europe May Provide Emergency Loans After Referendum, European Parliament Head Says

Europe will not "desert" Greece regardless of the outcome of the July 5 referendum and may provide it emergency loans, European Parliament President Martin Schulz said, AFP reported. Read more…

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