Geopolitical Diary

An Armenian Tragedy: The Geopolitics of Terminology

The choice between "genocide" and "massacre" in describing the mass killing of Armenians by Ottoman Turks in 1915 indicates either support for a small country aligned with Russia or close ties with a rising power in the Middle East and the Russian periphery. Read more…

Editor's Choice
Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

The 'Grexit' Issue and the Problem of Free Trade

Global Affairs
By Mark Fleming-Williams
Mark Fleming-Williams

China's New Investment Bank: A Premature Prophecy

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

Could the Islamic State and al Qaeda Reconcile?

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Field Notes
Stratfor In The News

Stratfor's Rodger Baker on South Korea's Political Storm

"It's hard for this crisis not to have at least some impact [on South Korean President Park Geun-Hye]. Her administration has already faced a lot of criticism on reforms as well as international junkets," Baker said. This week's events interfere with her ability to focus on policy issues and help push them through the parliament, he added.

Featured Analyst:

Stratfor's Scott Stewart on the Latest Threats by ISIS

The nature of ISIS's recent threats actually speaks to the group's limitations, says Scott Stewart, vice president of tactical analysis at Stratfor. He says that if a militant group has the ability to conduct a strike, it's not going to foreshadow it online, "they're just going to do it. It's when they can't do it themselves that they need to ask others for help."

Featured Analyst:
Situation/Intelligence Reports

Mali: Pro-Government Militia Seizes Northern Town

Militants from pro-government group Gatia seized the northern Malian town of Menaka from Tuareg rebels April 27, Reuters reported. Read more…

Burundi: 6 Killed In Protests Against President

Six people died and seven were wounded in clashes between protesters and police in Bujumbura, News24 reported April 27. Read more…

Venezuela: Conflict On Funding Emerges In State Oil Company

The president of Venezuela's state-owned oil company Petroleos de Venezuela and the company's financial director disagree on how to allocate funds within the company, unidentified sources said, El Nacional reported April 27. Read more…

Russia: S-300 Deliveries Will Not Affect Tehran Nuclear Talks

Russia's decision to supply Iran with S-300 missile defense systems will have no effect on nuclear negotiations, EU foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini said, Sputnik News reported April 27. Read more…

Yemen: Saudi Airstrikes Continue

Saudi Arabia continued airstrikes against Houthi forces in central Yemen and in the capital April 27, Reuters reported. Read more…

Afghanistan: Taliban Militants Attack Kunduz

Hundreds of Taliban militants attacked the military outposts and police checkpoints on the outskirts of Kunduz on April 27, Reuters reported. Read more…

Syria: Islamist Rebels Seize Army Base In Idlib

Islamist rebels seized Qarmeed camp, an army base in Syria's Idlib province, after a Jabhat al-Nusra suicide bomber drove a truck loaded with two tons of explosives into the base, blowing it up, The Daily Star reported April 27. Read more…

Sudan: President Easily Wins Re-election

Sudanese President Omar al Bashir won re-election April 27 with 94 percent of the votes counted so far, ABC News reported. Read more…

Japan: KEPCO To Retire 5 Nuclear Reactors

The Kainsai Electric Power Company said April 27 that it would retire five commercial nuclear reactors by the end of the month, Mainichi news reported. Read more…

Syria: U.N. Invites Iran To Peace Talks

The U.N. invited Iran to join Syria peace talks in May, World Bulletin reported April 27. Read more…

Palestinian Territories: Former U.S. President To Mediate Talks, Source Says

Former U.S. President Jimmy Carter will mediate Saudi-led talks between rival Palestinian groups Hamas and Fatah, Anadolu reported April 26, citing an anonymous Palestinian source. Read more…

Cyprus: New President Provides Hope For Reunification

Independent presidential candidate Mustafa Akinci beat out incumbent Dervis Eroglu in a surprise victory to become president of the Turkish Republic of Northern Cyprus, a state only recognized by Turkey, EU Observer reported April 27. Read more…

Yemen: Saudi National Guard Deployed To Border

Saudi Arabia has deployed national guard troops to the Yemeni border to aid the border police and the army, which have guarded the border since Saudi Arabia began airstrikes against Yemen's Houthi militants in late March, AFP reported April 27. Read more…

Kazakhstan: President Wins Fifth Term In Landslide Victory

Nursultan Nazarbayev easily won a fifth consecutive presidential term with 97. 5 percent of the vote, AFP reported April 26, citing an exit poll. Read more…

Germany: Volkswagen Chairman Resigns

Volkswagen Chairman Ferdinand Piech resigned April 25 after losing a showdown with Chief Executive Martin Winterkorn, Reuters reported. Read more…

Iraq, Jordan: 3 Islamic State Suicide Car Bombs Explode At Border Crossing

The Islamic State exploded three suicide car bombs at a border crossing between Iraq and Jordan on April 25, killing four soldiers, an Iraqi border police source said, Reuters reported. Read more…

U.S.: Coalition Launches 15 Airstrikes Against Islamic State

U.S.-led forces targeted Islamic State militants in Syria with four airstrikes and conducted 11 strikes against the group in Iraq, the U.S. military said April 25, Reuters reported. Read more…

Nepal: China To Send Rescue Team Following Earthquake

Beijing will send the China International Search and Rescue Team to Nepal following a magnitude-7.9 earthquake, the China Earthquake Administration said April 25, Xinhuanet reported. Read more…