Geopolitical Diary
Editor's Choice

Jihadism in 2014: Jihadist Franchises

The rift between al Qaeda and the Islamic State has produced scores of local splits within regional jihadist groups, and will ultimately weaken both of them.

Greece Postpones a Crisis

Greece must clear a series of obstacles in the coming months if it hopes to complete its bailout program.

Geopolitical Weekly
By Reva Bhalla
Reva Bhalla

The Intersection of Three Crises

Global Affairs
By Luc De Keyser
Luc De Keyser

The Wager Behind the European Debt Crisis

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

A Look Back at the 1993 World Trade Center Bombing

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Analysis

The Other Ukrainian Crisis

While most of the West focuses on Russia's next moves, it may be Ukraine's internal politics that determine the future of the region.

Maps
Video
Field Notes
Stratfor In The News
CBC Logo

Mark Fleming-Williams on Greece Bailout Talks

Live interview with Stratfor's economy analyst on CBC's prime time business program "The Exchange" to provide commentary on the different scenarios that could result from ongoing talks between the EU and Greece.

CBC
Featured Analyst:
Marketplace Logo

Egypt Finds Alternative to U.S.-Made Warplanes

In this story from NPR's "Marketplace" program, Stratfor Military Analyst Sim Tack comments on the economic implications of a potential U.S.-Egypt fallout over military aid after the Egyptian government's purchase of French-made fighter jets.

Marketplace
Featured Analyst:
U.S. News Logo

Stratfor's Fred Burton on Western ISIS Hostages

"They're extraordinarily high-value targets -- you can see the amount of propaganda that can be gained by having an American, a Western hostage," says Fred Burton, a former U.S. Diplomatic Security Service special agent and State Department counterterrorism official. "It generates additional media attention, making the organization relevant."

U.S. News
Featured Analyst:
Situation/Intelligence Reports

Mexico: New Oil Blocks Approved For Auction

Mexico has approved the auction of nine shallow-water hydrocarbon development blocks as part of its first licensing round to allow foreign investment in the country's oil sector, Argus reported Feb. 27.

Mexico: Attorney General Leaves Post

Jesus Murillo Karam has resigned from the post of attorney general and will be sworn in Feb. 27 as the head of the Department of Rural and Urban Development, ABC reported.

Greece: Update On Piraeus Bank Reports

Stratfor sources reported earlier that customers at Piraeus Bank ATMs in central Athens were having trouble withdrawing cash, but continuing reports suggest there is no widespread panic and that the problem is not affecting all of the bank's ATMs in the city.

UAE: Deal With Ukraine Does Not Include Arms

The military and security cooperation agreement between the United Arab Emirates and Ukraine does not include arms deals, UAE assistant Foreign Minister for Security and Military Affairs Faris al Mazrouei said, Emirates News Agency reported Feb. 27.

Bangladesh: Blogger Killed In Violent Attack

Avijit Roy, a prominent Bangladeshi-American blogger who spoke out against religious extremism, was hacked to death as he walked through a crowded area of Dhaka with his wife, Rafida Ahmed, AP reported Feb. 27.

Japan: Environment Minister Denies Corruption Charges

Japanese Environment Minister Yoshio Mochizuki denied wrongdoing following allegations that his office received improper funds, Reuters reported Feb. 27.

Greece: Piraeus Bank ATMs Run Out Of Cash

Piraeus Bank ATMs in downtown Athens appear to have run out of money Feb. 27, according to Stratfor sources in Athens. Customers have formed long lines to withdraw cash from the ATMs with no apparent success.

Mexico: Most Wanted Drug Lord Captured

Mexican authorities have arrested Servando "La Tuta" Gomez, leader of the Knights Templar cartel and considered the most wanted drug kingpin in Mexico, Reuters reported Feb. 27.

China: New Law To Allow Military Deployment Overseas

China will approve a law that will authorize deployment of troops abroad on counterterrorism operations, Reuters reported Feb. 27.

Sri Lanka: China Keen On Maritime Cooperation, Minister Says

China is committed to maritime cooperation with Sri Lanka, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi said during Sri Lankan Foreign Minister Mangala Samaraweera's visit to Beijing, South China Morning Post reported Feb. 27.

Turkey: Police Detain Man Threatening To Bomb U.S. Consulate

Police detained a man presumed to be mentally ill in front of the U.S. Consulate in Istanbul after he threatened to detonate a bomb he said he was carrying, Hurriyet Daily News reported Feb. 27.

Colombia: National Liberation Army Ready For Peace Talks

Nicolas Rodriguez, or Gabino, the leader of Colombia's second-largest rebel group National Liberation Army, said conditions for negotiations have improved and that the group has selected negotiators for peace dialogue with the government, El Tiempo reported Feb. 27.

China: Taiwan Could Intercept Chinese Civil Flights

Taiwan will consider the use of military planes to intercept Chinese commercial flights on a planned civil aviation route if the flights were to violate regulations and breach the halfway line, The China Post reported Feb. 27, citing an official from the Taiwanese Ministry of Transportation.

Germany: Parliament Approves Greek Deal

Germany’s Bundestag has approved a deal to extend Greece’s bailout program by four months, FAZ reported Feb. 27.

Russia: Ukraine Makes $15 Million Payment To Gazprom

Russian natural gas giant Gazprom confirmed receipt of $15 million in advance payment from Ukraine’s Naftogaz for 24 hours of gas supply, Sputnik News reported Feb. 27, citing RIA Novosti.

Greece: Police Clash With Protestors

Protestors and police clashed in Athens Feb. 26 during the first anti-government demonstrations since left-wing Syriza leader Alexis Tsipras became Greek prime minister, BBC reported Feb. 27.

China: Investors May Take Majority Stake In Russian Gas Fields

Russia will consider giving Chinese investors more than 50 percent of the shares in its strategic oil and gas fields, with the exception of those on the continental shelf, Russian Deputy Prime Minister Arkady Dvorkovich said, TASS News Agency reported Feb. 27.

Ukraine: Energy Meeting Confirmed With Russia And EU

The energy ministers of Ukraine and Russia will meet with EU energy chief Maros Sefcovic in Brussels on March 2 to discuss Russian natural gas supplies to Ukraine, according to a message posted by European Commission spokeswoman Anna-Kaisa Itkonen on Twitter Feb. 26, Reuters reported.

Forecasts

Decade Forecast: 2015-2025

The United States' role as the pre-eminent power will be the sole constant in a decade of political fragmentation, economic shifts and changes in regional power structures.