Geopolitical Diary

Turkey Picks a Side

As tensions mount between Turkey and Russia, Moscow will have to decide how far it can go in dealing with an Ankara that is drawing closer to its NATO allies. Read more…

Editor's Choice
Geopolitical Weekly
By Reva Bhalla
Reva Bhalla

The Fear of the Other Europe

Global Affairs
By Ambika Vishwanath
Ambika Vishwanath

The Water Wars Waged by the Islamic State

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

An Online University of Terrorism


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Myanmar Cannot Ignore China

An opposition victory will make Naypyidaw more resistant to Chinese interests, but Myanmar can move only so far from its powerful neighbor. Read more…

Field Notes
Stratfor In The News

Scott Stewart on Soft Targets and Terrorism

Speaking with BuzzFeed News, Stratfor Vice President for Tactical Analysis Scott Stewart explains what a focus on soft targets tells us about terrorist capabilities.

BuzzFeed News
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Situation/Intelligence Reports

Burkina Faso: Presidential, Parliamentary Elections Begin

Elections are underway in Burkina Faso to elect a new president and parliament, officials said Nov. 29, BBC reported. Read more…

Turkey: Russia Releases Sanctions Decree

Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree Nov. 28 with immediate effect imposing sanctions against Turkey for the downing of a Russian Su-24 on Nov. 24, Reuters reported citing a statement posted on the Kremlin's website. Read more…

Syria: Loyalists Make Gains East Of Aleppo

Forces loyal to Syrian President Bashar al Assad recaptured the villages of Kaskis and Akula from the Islamic State east of Aleppo on Nov. 28, including a highway link to Raqqa, Reuters reported citing Syrian State TV. Read more…

Turkey: Kurdish Lawyer Killed, Protests Ensue

Kurdish lawyer and activist Tahir Elci was killed in the southeastern Turkish city of Diyarbakir on Nov. 28 by an unknown assailant in what the Peoples' Democratic Party (HDP) has called a "planned assassination," Reuters reported. Read more…

North Korea: Submarine-Launched Missile Test Fails

North Korea carried out a submarine ballistic missile test launch Nov. 28, Yonhap news agency reported, citing a South Korean government source. Read more…

Japan: Government Finalizing Counterterrorism Task Force

Tokyo is making the final arrangements for a 30-40 person Foreign Ministry task force charged with gathering information on domestic and international terrorism, unnamed officials said Nov. 27, Kyodo News reported Nov. 28. Read more…

Turkey: Ankara Advises Against Travel To Russia

Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said Nov. 28 that Turkish citizens should avoid all non-urgent travel to Russia in light of recent difficulties faced by Turks traveling in the country, Reuters reported. Read more…

Tunisia: Islamic State Attacks Were Planned In Libya

A number of attacks this year in Tunisia claimed by the Islamic State were planned in Libya, according to a top Tunisian government official, AFP reported Nov. 27. Read more…

Syria: France Might Cooperate With Government Troops Against The Islamic State

French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius has said that France might cooperate with Syrian government troops against the Islamic State in Syria, The Guardian reported Nov. 27. Read more…

Saudi Arabia: 1,000 Shiites Gather To Demand Prisoners' Release

Around 1,000 members of Saudi Arabia's Shiite minority gathered at a mosque in al-Awamiya, a city in Eastern Province, to demand the release of activists sentenced to death, AFP reported Nov. 27. Read more…

Bangladesh: Islamic State Claims Responsibility For Mosque Attack

The Islamic State claimed responsibility for an attack on a mosque in the town of Haripur, which killed one person and wounded three others, Al Jazeera reported Nov. 27. Read more…

Colombia: Military Operation Targets Rebels In Arauca

The Colombian army killed two members of the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) during a military operation in Arauca department, Caracol radio reported Nov. 27. Read more…

Ukraine: Russia Cutting Off Coal Supplies, Energy Minister Says

Russia has begun restricting coal supplies to Ukraine in response to the ongoing power blackout in Crimea, Ukrainian Energy Minister Volodymyr Demchyshyn told the Ukrainian parliament on Nov. 27, Reuters reported. Read more…

China: First Overseas Naval Hub To Be Built In Djibouti

China plans to build its first overseas naval installation in Djibouti, spokesman for the Chinese Foreign and Defense ministries said Nov. 26, the Wall Street Journal reported. Read more…

China: Beijing Unveils Military Reforms

China on Nov. 26 unveiled a set of sweeping military reforms, including the establishment of a joint operational command, Xinhua and The Straits Times reported. Read more…

Turkey: Air Force Flights Over Syria Suspended, Diplomats Say

Turkey has suspended air force flights over Syria as part of the U.S.-led coalition's offensive against the Islamic State following the Nov. 24 downing of a Russian fighter jet, unnamed diplomatic sources said Nov. 27, Hurriyet reported. Read more…

Russia, Turkey: Moscow Suspends Trade, Investment Projects

Russia has suspended work on a number of joint investment and trade projects with Turkey, Russian Economic Development Minister Aleksey Ulyukayev said Nov. 27, Interfax reported. Read more…

Russia, Turkey: Ankara Takes Steps To Ease Tension Over Downed Fighter Jet

Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said Nov. 27 that Ankara will cooperate with Moscow to reduce tension over Turkey’s downing of a Russian fighter jet on Nov. 24, Sputnik reported, citing the Times and Reuters. Read more…