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Fred Burton on Inauguration Security

Stratfor Chief Security Officer Fred Burton discusses the consistency of geography and the wild-card factor at presidential inaugurations with WTOP Radio.

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Perspectives

Geopolitical Diary
Geopolitical Weekly
. By Rodger Baker
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Security Weekly
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Situation Reports

Kyrgyzstan: Turkish Cargo Plane Crashes, Killing At Least 32

A Turkish cargo plane crashed Jan. 16 as it approached the airport in Kyrgyzstan's capital of Bishkek, killing at least 32 people, the New York Times reported. Read more…

Mexico: Companies Could Get Financial Incentives, Economy Secretary Says

Mexico's secretary of economy, Ildefonso Guajardo Villarreal, said Jan. 15 that Mexico could give financial incentives to companies in response to any future U.S. border tariffs against Mexican products, El Economista reported. Read more…

Turkey: Parliament Concludes First-Round Voting On Constitutional Amendments

Turkey's parliament concluded late Jan. 15 the first round of voting on a constitutional amendment package to strengthen the powers of president Recep Tayyip Erdogan, Hurriyet Daily News Reported Jan. 16. Read more…

South Korea: Prosecutors Seeking Arrest Warrant For Samsung Heir

Prosecutors in South Korea are seeking an arrest warrant for the de facto head of Samsung, Jay Y. Lee, in connection to the impeachment of President Park Geun Hye, Bloomberg reported. Read more…

Vietnam: Abe Caps Tour Of Western Pacific States, Pledges More Maritime Aid

Japan will give Vietnam six more coast guard patrol vessels as part of an aid package worth some 120 billion yen (around $1 billion), Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said Jan. 16 during a visit to Hanoi, Kyodo reported. Read more…

Egypt: Top Court Rejects Transfer Of Islands To Saudi Arabia

Egypt’s High Administrative Court rejected a government appeal Jan. 16 seeking approval to transfer a pair of uninhabited islands in the Red Sea to Saudi Arabia, Ahram Online reported. Read more…

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Paris Summit On Peace Talks Begins

Representatives of nations at a conference in Paris aimed at kick-starting peace talks between Israel and the Palestinians have warned that neither side should take unilateral actions, BBC reported Jan. 15. Read more…

Jordan: King Reshuffles Cabinet

Jordanian King Abdullah II reshuffled his Cabinet but retained Hani Mulki as prime minister on Jan. 15, Reuters reported. Read more…

Philippines: President Considers Martial Law Amid Drugs Crackdown

Martial law could be imposed in the Philippines if the drugs problem worsens, President Rodrigo Duterte said, BBC reported Jan. 15. Read more…

Russia: Military Plans To Expand Naval, Air Bases In Syria

Russia plans to improve and expand its naval and air bases in Syria, Interfax news agency and Reuters reported Jan. 15, citing an unnamed source. Read more…

Gambia: President-Elect Leaves Country For Senegal

Gambia's president-elect, Adama Barrow, has left the country for neighboring Senegal, local media said Jan. 15, Reuters reported. Read more…

Tunisia: Arab Spring Anniversary Protests Break Out

Demonstrations broke out late Jan. 13 in Sidi Bouzid, Meknassi and Gafsa after initial rallies in Ben Guerdane and continued in several places into Jan. 14, Reuters reported. Read more…

Yemen: Conflicting Reports Emerge Of Attack On Russian Ambassador

Conflicting reports emerged Jan. 14, with some indicating that Russian ambassador to Yemen, Vladimir Dedushkin, has been assassinated in Sanaa and that gunmen stormed the embassy there, Express and Barq news agency reported. Read more…

Iraq: Forces In Mosul Make Gains Along Tigris River

Iraqi special operations forces pushed Islamic State fighters off of much of the Mosul University campus Jan. 14, Reuters reported. Read more…

Germany: 2 Individuals With Neo-Nazi Ties Arrested With Explosives

German authorities have discovered explosives in a house in Lauterecken and arrested two individuals with alleged connections to a neo-Nazi terrorist group known as the Oldschool Society (OSS), The Independent reported Jan. 14. Read more…

Turkey: Authorities Arrest 2 Uighurs Tied To Nightclub Shooting

Turkish authorities have arrested two ethnic Uighurs, Omar Asim and Abuliezi Abuduhamiti, on charges of buying unregistered weapons, membership in a terrorist organization and involvement in the Jan. 1 attack on a nightclub in Istanbul, a prosecutor said, Anadolu Agency reported Jan. 14. Read more…

Spain: Two Arrested For Suspected Connections To Islamic State

Police in Spain's North African enclave of Ceuta arrested two people on Jan. 13 suspected of having links to the Islamic State, AP reported. Read more…

Sudan: U.S. Set To Offer Important Sanctions Relief

The United States is set to offer limited sanctions relief to Sudan on Jan. 13, the New York Times reported. Read more…

Forecasts

2017 Annual ForecastFree

Long-term trends tend to quietly build over decades and then noisily surface as the politics catch up. Such is the case for 2017. Read more…