Geopolitical Diary
Editor's Choice

Jihadism in 2014: Jihadist Franchises

The rift between al Qaeda and the Islamic State has produced scores of local splits within regional jihadist groups, and will ultimately weaken both of them.

Greece Postpones a Crisis

Greece must clear a series of obstacles in the coming months if it hopes to complete its bailout program.

Geopolitical Weekly
By Reva Bhalla
Reva Bhalla

The Intersection of Three Crises

Global Affairs
By Luc De Keyser
Luc De Keyser

The Wager Behind the European Debt Crisis

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

A Look Back at the 1993 World Trade Center Bombing


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Field Notes
Stratfor In The News
CBC Logo

Mark Fleming-Williams on Greece Bailout Talks

Live interview with Stratfor's economy analyst on CBC's prime time business program "The Exchange" to provide commentary on the different scenarios that could result from ongoing talks between the EU and Greece.

Featured Analyst:
Marketplace Logo

Egypt Finds Alternative to U.S.-Made Warplanes

In this story from NPR's "Marketplace" program, Stratfor Military Analyst Sim Tack comments on the economic implications of a potential U.S.-Egypt fallout over military aid after the Egyptian government's purchase of French-made fighter jets.

Featured Analyst:
U.S. News Logo

Stratfor's Fred Burton on Western ISIS Hostages

"They're extraordinarily high-value targets -- you can see the amount of propaganda that can be gained by having an American, a Western hostage," says Fred Burton, a former U.S. Diplomatic Security Service special agent and State Department counterterrorism official. "It generates additional media attention, making the organization relevant."

U.S. News
Featured Analyst:
Situation/Intelligence Reports

Iraq: Government Reattempts To Seize Tikrit

Iraqi forces backed by allies have begun a major military operation to recapture the city of Tikrit from Islamic State militants, AP reported March 2, citing Iraq’s state TV.

Iraq: Turkey May Explore Oil In Qandil, Minister Says

Disarmament efforts by the Kurdistan Workers' Party, or PKK, will pave the way for Turkey to explore oil in Turkish-owned blocks in Iraq’s Qandil region, Turkish Energy Minister Taner Yildiz said, Reuters reported March 2.

Turkey: Greece Protests Move On Aegean Airspace

Greece has objected to Turkey’s unilateral decision to reserve a portion of airspace over the Aegean Sea for military use until the end of 2015, according to Greek Foreign Ministry spokesman Constantinos Koutras, Today’s Zaman reported March 2.

Russia: Police Cite No Claims Against Ukrainian Lawmaker

Ukrainian lawmaker Alexei Goncharenko can leave Russia as he wishes and the Russian police have no legal claims against him, a representative from Moscow’s police department said, Interfax reported March 2.

Tajikistan: Ruling Party Wins At The Polls

Tajikistan’s ruling People’s Democratic Party has won the parliamentary elections with 65.2 percent of the votes, Trend news agency reported March 2, citing an election official.

Estonia: Ruling Reform Party Leading Exit Polls

Estonia's ruling center-right Reform Party holds 29.2 percent of the vote in the country's March 1 parliamentary elections, according to initial returns, Reuters reported. The party favors maintaining close ties with NATO.

Syria: Opposition Leaders Reject U.N. Envoy's Cease-Fire Plan

Syrian opposition leaders rejected U.N. envoy Staffan de Mistura's plan for a temporary cease-fire that would apply to Aleppo, Reuters reported March 1.

Italy: Anti-Immigrant Northern League Party Holds Rome Rally

The Italian anti-immigrant and anti-euro Northern League party held a rally in Rome on Feb. 28, France24 reported March 1.

Syria: Islamic State Releases 19 Christian Captives

The Islamic State released 19 Assyrian Christians on March 1, but some 200 more remain captives, Reuters reported.

Sierra Leone: Vice President Quarantined For Ebola

Vice President of Sierra Leone Samuel Sam-Sumana voluntarily placed himself under quarantine for Ebola after the virus killed one of his bodyguards Feb. 27, Al Jazeera reported March 1.

Hong Kong: Police Arrest 3 Anti-China Protesters

Hong Kong police arrested 3 protesters who were demanding that the government cancel entry permits for Chinese tourists and calling for the Chinese Communist Party to be toppled, Reuters reported March 1.

Yemen: Iranian Flights Begin Day After Agreement Signed

Iranian flights to Yemen began the day after Tehran signed an agreement with the new al-Houthi government in Sanaa to allow air travel between the two countries, Al Jazeera reported March 1.

Lithuania: Agreement Reached To Buy U.S. Liquefied Natural Gas

Lithuania signed a deal to buy liquefied natural gas from Houston-based Chenier Energy, Lithuanian state-owned energy company Litgas said, AFP reported March 1.

Mali: Peace Deal With Rebels Held Up

The main Tuareg rebel coalition that includes the National Movement for the Liberation of Azawad has asked the Malian government for more time to consult its people before deciding on a peace agreement, Al Jazeera reported March 1.

China: Manufacturing Declines For 2nd Straight Month

China's Purchasing Managers' Index, a statistic that looks at activity in factories, registered at 49.9 for February, below the level of 50 that indicates growth, France24 reported March 1.

Russia: Ukrainian Lawmaker Arrested Before Moscow Funeral March

Russian authorities arrested Ukrainian lawmaker Alexei Goncharenko in Moscow before a funeral parade for Russian opposition leader Boris Nemtsov on March 1, Ukraine Today reported and Goncharenko confirmed on his Facebook page.

Egypt: Court Ruling Could Delay Elections

An Egyptian court ruled part of the country's election law unconstitutional in a move that could delay the country's parliamentary vote, originally scheduled for March 22, Reuters reported March 1.


Decade Forecast: 2015-2025

The United States' role as the pre-eminent power will be the sole constant in a decade of political fragmentation, economic shifts and changes in regional power structures.