Geopolitical Diary

An Armenian Tragedy: The Geopolitics of Terminology

The choice between "genocide" and "massacre" in describing the mass killing of Armenians by Ottoman Turks in 1915 indicates either support for a small country aligned with Russia or close ties with a rising power in the Middle East and the Russian periphery. Read more…

Editor's Choice
Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

The 'Grexit' Issue and the Problem of Free Trade

Global Affairs
By Mark Fleming-Williams
Mark Fleming-Williams

China's New Investment Bank: A Premature Prophecy

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

Could the Islamic State and al Qaeda Reconcile?

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Field Notes
Stratfor In The News

Stratfor's Rodger Baker on South Korea's Political Storm

"It's hard for this crisis not to have at least some impact [on South Korean President Park Geun-Hye]. Her administration has already faced a lot of criticism on reforms as well as international junkets," Baker said. This week's events interfere with her ability to focus on policy issues and help push them through the parliament, he added.

Featured Analyst:

Stratfor's Scott Stewart on the Latest Threats by ISIS

The nature of ISIS's recent threats actually speaks to the group's limitations, says Scott Stewart, vice president of tactical analysis at Stratfor. He says that if a militant group has the ability to conduct a strike, it's not going to foreshadow it online, "they're just going to do it. It's when they can't do it themselves that they need to ask others for help."

Featured Analyst:
Situation/Intelligence Reports

Iraq: Islamic State Partially Captures Barracks, Dam In Anbar Province

Islamic State militants in Iraq took partial control of a water dam and military barracks guarding it in the western Anbar province on April 25, security sources said, Reuters reported. Read more…

Syria: Rebels Enter Jisr Al-Shughour In Idlib Province

Syrian rebels entered the town of Jisr al-Shughour in Idlib province, northwestern Syria, on April 25, the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights said, AP reported. Read more…

Nepal: Magnitude-7.8 Earthquake Kills Over 700

A magnitude-7.8 earthquake struck Nepal on April 25, killing at least 711 people, a national police spokesman said, BBC reported. Read more…

Saudi Arabia: Islamic State Ordered Police Killings

A man arrested for shooting and killing two policemen and injuring two others during separate attacks in March and April, has ties to the Islamic State, the Daily Star reported April 24. Read more…

Mali: U.N. Peacekeepers Injured By Landmine

Seven U.N. peacekeepers were injured April 24 when their vehicle struck a landmine on the road between Kidal and Gao, World Bulletin reported. Read more…

Kenya: Official Abducted And Killed By Somali Militants

Kenyan official Mkutar Otieno was found dead after being kidnapped and shot by al Shabaab militants, Mandera County Police Commander Job Boronjo said, Xinhua reported April 23. Read more…

Iran, Turkey: Defense Ministers Promote Regional Cooperation

Iranian Minister of Defense Hossein Dehghan met with his Turkish counterpart, Ismet Yilmaz, during the Istanbul Peace Summit on April 24, IRNA reported. Read more…

Palestinian Territory: Israeli Tanks Strike Hamas In Gaza

Israeli tanks struck the Gaza Strip after a rocket, reportedly launched by Hamas, hit southern Israel, the Daily Star reported April 24. Read more…

Syria: Islamic State Downs Army Jet, Claims To Have Captured Pilot

Islamic State militants shot down a Syrian army aircraft in Sweida province April 24, AFP reported. Read more…

Congo: 3 U.N. Peacekeepers Kidnapped

Three members of the U.N. peacekeeping mission in the Democratic Republic of the Congo were kidnapped April 23 in North Kivu province, Africa Review reported, citing a U.N. source. Read more…

EU: Leaders Triple Funding To Combat Human Trafficking

EU countries agreed to increase the amount of aid to member states receiving high numbers of asylum seekers and to triple the funding for EU operations Triton and Poseidon to rescue asylum seekers at sea, an official statement from the European Council said. Read more…

Russia: Chechen Leader Denies Rift With Russian Security Forces

Chechen President Ramzan Kadyrov said April 23 that there was no conflict between him and Russian forces, including the Federal Security Bureau, TASS reported April 24. Read more…

Italy: Wiretaps Reveal Plan To Attack Vatican

Wiretaps on an al Qaeda cell in Sardinia revealed early plans to attack the Vatican, investigators said, ANSA reported April 24. Read more…

Israel: Rocket Hits Near Sderot

A rocket fired by an unidentified group hit an abandoned field near Sderot in Israel's Sha'ar Hanegev Regional Council on April 23, Ynet News reported. Read more…

Russia: Arrival Of U.S. Servicemen To Ukraine Violates Minsk Deal, Foreign Minister Says

Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry that the arrival of U.S. soldiers to western Ukraine was a violation of the Minsk deal, Sputnik reported April 22. Read more…

Russia: Chechen Leader Encourages Use Of Lethal Force

Chechen President Ramzan Kadyrov told local law enforcement officers April 21 that they should “shoot to kill” any Russian security forces who conduct operations in Chechnya without prior consent, Radio Free Europe reported April 23. Read more…

Yemen: U.S. Pressure Deters Iranian Convoy

A convoy of Iranian ships heading for Yemen changed course April 23 after being followed by U.S. warships, Fox News reported. Read more…

U.S.: Airstrike Accidently Killed 2 Al Qaeda Hostages, White House Says

The U.S. government said April 23 that two hostages, one American and one Italian, were accidently killed in a U.S. airstrike conducted in January against al Qaeda in the border region of Afghanistan and Pakistan, AP reported. Read more…