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The Middle Eastern Balance of Power Matures

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Sim Tack

The Mechanics of NATO's Collective Self-Defense

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Scott Stewart

The Islamic State's Appeal

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Ukrainian Oligarch Signals Compromise With Kiev

Three days after Igor Kolomoisky publicly clashed with Kiev and was forced to leave the governorship, both sides have chosen to avoid further confrontation — at least for now.

Field Notes
Stratfor In The News

Stratfor's Reva Bhalla on Yemen Unrest

In a live interview on CNBC's "Fast Money," Stratfor's Vice President of Global Analysis discusses the conflict in Yemen and its potential impact on oil markets.

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George Friedman on the Decade Ahead

In a live interview with Bloomberg TV's "Market Makers," Stratfor's founder and chairman addresses predictions from the firm's Decade Forecast, including Russia's inability to survive in its current form and the fragmentation of the European Union.

Market Makers
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Fred Burton on U.S. Diplomatic Security

Stratfor's Vice President of Intelligence joined C-SPAN's "Washington Journal" program to discuss how the State Department and other agencies handle security at U.S. diplomatic embassies worldwide.

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Situation/Intelligence Reports

Egypt: United States To Lift Arms Freeze

U.S. President Barack Obama announced the lifting of the hold on U.S. arms deliveries to Egypt first imposed in October 2013 after the military took control of the government, The New York Times reported March 31.

Ukraine: Putin Supports Extending Natural Gas Deal

Russian President Vladimir Putin said March 31 that he would support a proposal to extend the natural gas deal with Ukraine set to expire April 1 for a further three months, according to a statement made during a meeting with Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev, RFE/RL reported.

Turkey: Sledgehammer Coup Suspects Acquitted

A Turkish court on March 31 acquitted all 236 suspects in the Operation Sledgehammer coup plot trial in line with a request by Public Prosecutor Ramazan Oksuz to dismiss the case, Today's Zaman reported.

Turkey: Hostage Standoff Ends With Prosecutor Badly Wounded

According to Turkish newspaper Cumhuriyet, the two men holding a Turkish prosecutor hostage have been killed, and the prosecutor is reportedly being treated at a hospital with critical injuries.

Iran: Nuclear Talks Could Extend Past Midnight Deadline

Nuclear talks between six world powers and Iran could go past the midnight deadline for a framework deal, U.S. officials said, BBC reported March 31.

Nigeria: A Buhari Victory Affords Stability, For Now

Muhammadu Buhari, the leader of Nigeria's opposition All Progressives Congress, was announced as the winner of Nigeria's presidential election March 31.

Yemen: Hadi's Forces Take Control Of Aden

Forces loyal to internationally recognized Yemeni President Abd Mansour Rabboh Hadi have taken full control of Aden, Reuters reported March 31, citing residents.

Turkey: Special Operations Forces Enter Courthouse

Turkish special operations forces have entered the Istanbul courthouse where prosecutor Mehmet Selim Kiraz is being held hostage by suspected members of the far-left Revolutionary People’s Liberation Party-Front, Hurriyet Daily News reported March 31.

Syria: U.S. Training Of Rebels Will Begin In May, Turkish Minister Says

A U.S. program to train Syrian rebels to fight the Islamic State will begin in May, Turkish Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz said, Reuters reported March 31.

Iraq: Forces Retake Government Buildings In Tikrit

Iraqi forces have regained control of the Salahuddin provincial government headquarters in Tikrit, AFP reported March 31.

Turkey: Government Investigating Power Outage

The Turkish government is investigating whether a massive power outage in Turkey was a terrorist attack, RT reported March 31.

Greece: Athens Opposes Sanctions On Russia, Prime Minister Says

Greece thinks the Western sanctions imposed on Russia are a dead-end policy, Alexis Tsipras said March 31, New Europe reported.

Turkey: Leftist Group Takes Prosecutor Hostage

Turkish prosecutor Mehmet Selim Kiraz has been taken hostage in Istanbul by suspected members of the banned Revolutionary People's Liberation Party-Front, Hurriyet Daily News reported March 31.

Peru: Prime Minister Loses Vote Of Confidence, Steps Down

Peruvian Prime Minister Ana Jara was forced to step down after the Peruvian Congress voted 72 to 42 against her in a vote of confidence, BBC reported March 31.

Belarus: Relations With U.S. Improved, Official Says

Belarusian Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs Alexander Guryanov said Belarusian-U.S. relations have improved, Belarusian news agency BelTA reported March 31.

Nigeria: Media Announces Opposition Leader As Election Winner

Gen. Muhammadu Buhari, head of Nigeria’s main opposition All Progressives Congress (APC), is leading President Goodluck Jonathan by more than 2 million votes in the presidential election, Nigerian publication The Nation reported March 31.

Germany: Lawmaker Resigns Over Policy On Greece

Germany’s Christian Social Union deputy chairman Peter Gauweiler has resigned from Parliament over the government’s policies on Greece, Der Spiegel reported March 31.

Germany: Discussions Start On Drone Development

The possible development of a new generation of European military UAVs will be discussed during a French-German Cabinet consultation on March 31, Der Spiegel reported.


Decade Forecast: 2015-2025

The United States' role as the pre-eminent power will be the sole constant in a decade of political fragmentation, economic shifts and changes in regional power structures.