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Scott Stewart on Russian Espionage

Stratfor VP of Tactical Analysis Scott Stewart tells AP that arrests in Russian espionage cases in recent years only scratch the surface.

AP
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Perspectives

Geopolitical Diary
Geopolitical Weekly
. By Mark Fleming-Williams
Global Affairs
. By Thomas Hunt
Security Weekly
. By Scott Stewart
Situation Reports

Palestinian Territories: Hamas Commander Killed In Gaza

A senior Hamas military commander, Mazen Fuqaha, was killed in his home in the Gaza Strip on March 24, according to news circulating on social media outlets and reporting from the Jerusalem Post. Read more…

South Korea: Prosecutors Seek Arrest Warrant For Ex-President

Prosecutors in South Korea asked a court to issue an arrest warrant for former South Korean President Park Geun Hye over corruption allegations that led to her ouster, Yonhap news agency reported March 27. Read more…

Syria: U.S.-Backed Syrian Forces Take Tabqa Air Base

U.S.-backed Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF), an alliance of Kurdish and Arab militias, on March 26 took Tabqa air base in northern Syria held by the Islamic State, Reuters reported. Read more…

Germany: Chancellor's Christian Democratic Union Wins Saarland State Election

German Chancellor Angela Merkel's conservative Christian Democratic Union (CDU) won a regional election in the western state of Saarland on March 26, preliminary official figures showed, Reuters reported. Read more…

Bulgaria: GERB Party Wins Parliamentary Elections, Partial Results Show

Bulgaria's center-right GERB party narrowly won parliamentary elections on March 26, partial official results showed, Reuters reported. Read more…

Russia: Opposition Leader, Protesters Detained At Demonstrations Nationwide

Police detained dozens of protesters across Russia on March 26, including opposition leader Alexei Navalny, after thousands took to the streets to demonstrate against corruption and demand the resignation of Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev, Reuters reported. Read more…

Hong Kong: Carrie Lam Elected Chief Executive

Carrie Lam was elected March 26 as Hong Kong's chief executive, Reuters reported. Read more…

Turkey: President May Call Referendum On EU Accession

Turkey may hold a referendum to decide on whether to continue EU accession talks, President Recep Tayyip Erdogan said March 25, Reuters reported. Read more…

Iraq: Military Pauses Operations In Western Mosul

Anti-Islamic State forces temporarily halted their push to retake control of western Mosul on March 25 out of concern for high civilian casualties, an Iraqi military representative said, Reuters reported. Read more…

Belarus: Anti-Government Protesters Gather In Three Major Cities

Hundreds of anti-government protesters came out into the streets of the Belarusian cities of Minsk, Brest and Grodno on March 25 in spite of a government ban on demonstrations, AP reported. Read more…

Bulgaria: Nationalists Block Border Crossing Points Ahead Of Election

Bulgarian nationalists blocked the three main crossing points along the Turkey-Bulgaria border March 24 to prevent Turks with Bulgarian passports from voting in elections March 26, AFP reported. Read more…

France: Marine Le Pen Meets Russian President

France's far-right presidential candidate Marine Le Pen met Russian President Vladimir Putin in Moscow on March 24, The Moscow Times reported. Read more…

U.K.: Parliament Attacker Identified As Briton

London police on March 23 identified the man who conducted a deadly attack outside Parliament the day before as 52-year-old British-born Khalid Masood, Reuters reported. Read more…

U.K.: Islamic State Claims Connection To London Attack

The Islamic State-affiliated Amaq News Agency claimed that the perpetrator of the the March 22 attack in front of the British Parliament was a "soldier of Islamic State," the Guardian reported March 23. Read more…

Ukraine: Unconfirmed Reports Indicate Russian Dissident Shot In Kiev

According to unconfirmed reports on Twitter, exiled Russian lawmaker Denis Voronenkov was shot and killed in front of the Premier Palace Hotel near Maidan Square in central Kiev on March 23. Read more…

Philippines: Duterte Mulling Martial Law

Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte said March 23 that he is considering imposing martial law and suspending upcoming local elections across the country, Rappler and the Manila Times reported. Read more…

U.S.: Information Suggests Possible Coordination Between Trump Campaign, Russia

The FBI is reviewing information that suggests associates of U.S. President Donald Trump were in contact with suspected Russian operatives, perhaps to coordinate the release of information that would hurt Hillary Clinton's campaign, U.S. officials said, CNN reported March 22. Read more…

U.K.: Parliament Lockdown Over

The lockdown of Parliament instituted in the wake of a deadly assault has been lifted, the BBC reported March 22. The police investigation of the attacker and his motives is still underway. Read more…

Forecasts

2017 Annual ForecastFree

Long-term trends tend to quietly build over decades and then noisily surface as the politics catch up. Such is the case for 2017. Read more…