Geopolitical Diary
Editor's Choice

Jihadism in 2014: Jihadist Franchises

The rift between al Qaeda and the Islamic State has produced scores of local splits within regional jihadist groups, and will ultimately weaken both of them.

Greece Postpones a Crisis

Greece must clear a series of obstacles in the coming months if it hopes to complete its bailout program.

Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

Netanyahu, Obama and the Geopolitics of Speeches

Global Affairs
By Luc De Keyser
Luc De Keyser

The Wager Behind the European Debt Crisis

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

A Look Back at the 1993 World Trade Center Bombing


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Field Notes
Stratfor In The News
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Mark Fleming-Williams on Greece Bailout Talks

Live interview with Stratfor's economy analyst on CBC's prime time business program "The Exchange" to provide commentary on the different scenarios that could result from ongoing talks between the EU and Greece.

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Situation/Intelligence Reports

South Sudan: U.N. Security Council Agrees To Sanctions

The U.N. Security Council unanimously passed a resolution creating the framework for a sanctions regime for South Sudan, Reuters reported March 3.

Mozambique: Reform Activist Shot Dead

A gunman killed lawyer and government reform activist Gilles Cistac in Mozambique's capital city of Maputo on March 3, News24 reported.

Israel: Prime Minister Warns U.S. Against Nuclear Deal

In an address to the U.S. Congress, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu warned the United States against agreeing to a nuclear deal with Iran, Reuters reported March 3.

Guyana: Government Warns Venezuela About Interference

Guyana's government warned Venezuela not to meddle in its oil exploration after Venezuela voiced its opposition to an exploration well planned for disputed waters, El Universal reported March 3.

Syria: Islamic State Loses 23 Villages

The Islamic State has lost 23 villages in three days to Syrian government forces backed by local tribal fighters in the northeastern province of al-Hasaka, The Daily Star reported March 3.

Japan: Leader's Party Admits To Illicit Donations

A local chapter of Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party admitted to taking political donations from companies in exchange for government subsidies, The Japan Times reported March 3.

Philippines: Reed Bank Drilling Suspended

The Philippines has shelved oil and gas exploration activities in the South China Sea’s Reed Bank until further notice, Reuters reported March 3, citing a statement by a unit of Philex Petroleum Corp.

Russia: Thousands Mourn Opposition Leader

Thousands of mourners paid their respects March 3 to Russian opposition leader Boris Nemtsov, who was killed near the Kremlin on Feb. 27, AFP reported.

China: Senior Military Officials Investigated

China’s People’s Liberation Army has announced anti-corruption investigations on 14 senior military officials, including the son of a former official in China’s powerful defense body, SCMP reported March 3.

Turkey: Another State Bank Approved For Islamic Banking

Turkey’s third largest state bank has obtained approval from the regulator to establish an Islamic banking unit capitalized at $300 million, Anadolu Agency reported March 3, citing a statement from the bank.

Iran: Tehran Rejects U.S. Demands On Nuclear Activities

Iran has rejected U.S. demands for a 10-year suspension of sensitive nuclear activities as a condition for a deal on its nuclear program, Fars news agency reported March 3.

Yemen: Leader Offers Talks With Al-Houthis In Riyadh

Yemeni President Abd Rabboh Mansour Hadi has offered to hold talks with Shiite al-Houthi rebels in Saudi Arabia’s capital city, AP reported March 3, citing unnamed sources.

Greece: Government Looks To Raise Funds

Greece is expected to issue six-month treasury bills March 4 to raise funding to refinance maturing debt, Ekathimerini reported.

Ukraine: Russia To Consider Gas Discount

Russia may consider a discount on gas deliveries to Ukraine, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said March 3, TASS reported, a day after an agreement reached at EU-mediated talks in Brussels to resolve a gas payments dispute.

Venezuela: Caracas Opposes Outside Oil Venture In Guyana

Venezuelan Foreign Minister Delcy Rodriguez issued a letter publicly opposing ExxonMobil's offshore exploitation of oil blocks in neighboring Guyana, Argus reported March 2.

Colombia: Alleged Cuba-Bound Weapons Shipment Seized

Colombian authorities in Cartagena seized a Chinese-flagged ship carrying seven containers of unspecified weapons allegedly headed for Cuba on March 1, El Tiempo reported March 2.

U.S., Venezuela: Officials Meet As Relations Further Deteriorate

The head of the U.S. diplomatic mission in Caracas held a rare meeting March 2 with Venezuela's foreign minister as tensions between the two countries increased, ABC News reported.

U.S.: Israeli Leader Denies That Speech Is Slight To U.S. President

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu denied March 2 that his upcoming speech to the U.S. Congress is a show of disrespect to U.S. President Barack Obama, AFP reported March 2.


Decade Forecast: 2015-2025

The United States' role as the pre-eminent power will be the sole constant in a decade of political fragmentation, economic shifts and changes in regional power structures.