Geopolitical Diary

Turkey Picks a Side

As tensions mount between Turkey and Russia, Moscow will have to decide how far it can go in dealing with an Ankara that is drawing closer to its NATO allies. Read more…

Editor's Choice
Geopolitical Weekly
By Reva Bhalla
Reva Bhalla

The Fear of the Other Europe

Global Affairs
By Ambika Vishwanath
Ambika Vishwanath

The Water Wars Waged by the Islamic State

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

An Online University of Terrorism


Get Tomorrow's Intelligence
Not Yesterday's News.

Subscribe today!

Get Unrestricted Access to Content! Special Offer for a Limited Time!


Myanmar Cannot Ignore China

An opposition victory will make Naypyidaw more resistant to Chinese interests, but Myanmar can move only so far from its powerful neighbor. Read more…

Field Notes
Stratfor In The News

Scott Stewart on Soft Targets and Terrorism

Speaking with BuzzFeed News, Stratfor Vice President for Tactical Analysis Scott Stewart explains what a focus on soft targets tells us about terrorist capabilities.

BuzzFeed News
Featured Analyst:
Situation/Intelligence Reports

Ukraine: Russia Cutting Off Coal Supplies, Energy Minister Says

Russia has begun restricting coal supplies to Ukraine in response to the ongoing power blackout in Crimea, Ukrainian Energy Minister Volodymyr Demchyshyn told the Ukrainian parliament on Nov. 27, Reuters reported. Read more…

China: First Overseas Naval Hub To Be Built In Djibouti

China plans to build its first overseas naval installation in Djibouti, spokesman for the Chinese Foreign and Defense ministries said Nov. 26, the Wall Street Journal reported. Read more…

China: Beijing Unveils Military Reforms

China on Nov. 26 unveiled a set of sweeping military reforms, including the establishment of a joint operational command, Xinhua and The Straits Times reported. Read more…

Turkey: Air Force Flights Over Syria Suspended, Diplomats Say

Turkey has suspended air force flights over Syria as part of the U.S.-led coalition's offensive against the Islamic State following the Nov. 24 downing of a Russian fighter jet, unnamed diplomatic sources said Nov. 27, Hurriyet reported. Read more…

Russia, Turkey: Moscow Suspends Trade, Investment Projects

Russia has suspended work on a number of joint investment and trade projects with Turkey, Russian Economic Development Minister Aleksey Ulyukayev said Nov. 27, Interfax reported. Read more…

Russia, Turkey: Ankara Takes Steps To Ease Tension Over Downed Fighter Jet

Turkish Prime Minister Ahmet Davutoglu said Nov. 27 that Ankara will cooperate with Moscow to reduce tension over Turkey’s downing of a Russian fighter jet on Nov. 24, Sputnik reported, citing the Times and Reuters. Read more…

Russia, Turkey: Military Contacts Broken Off, Moscow Says

The Russian Ministry of Defense has broken off contact with the Turkish military over Turkey’s Nov. 24 downing of the Russian fighter jet, the ministry announced Nov. 26, Interfax reported. Read more…

Koreas: Deputy Ministers To Meet Dec. 11

Pyongyang and Seoul will hold rare high-level talks Dec. 11 in line with an accord reached to ease a cross-border standoff in August, the South Korean Unification Ministry announced Nov. 27, Yonhap reported. Read more…

Egypt: Alliance Loyal To President Wins Big In Parliamentary Vote

An electoral alliance loyal to Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi has won all 60 list seats available in the second round of Egypt's parliamentary election, Reuters reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Turkey: Military Releases Alleged Recording of Warning To Russian Pilots

The Turkish military on Nov. 25 released what it claims is a recording of a verbal warning to the Russian Su-24 fighter jet that Turkey shot down on Nov. 24, Reuters reported. Read more…

Syria: Airstrike Hits Trucks At Turkish Border, Aid Workers Say

Footage from the Turkey-Syria border showed trucks burning following an alleged airstrike, Reuters reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Syria: U.S. Imposes Sanctions On Syrian Government Supporters

The United States imposed sanctions on four individuals and six entities, including the Russian bank, for supporting Syrian President Bashar al Assad, Reuters reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Turkey: Ankara Gas Explosion Injures 5

An explosion at a dry ice plant in the Turkish capital on Nov. 25 prompted panic as residents initially feared a coordinated terrorist attack, Trend News Agency reported, citing Turkish newspaper Haberturk. Read more…

Tunisia: Islamic State Claims Nov. 24 Bus Bombing

The Islamic State has claimed responsibility for the Nov. 24 suicide bombing of a Tunisian presidential guard bus, which killed at least 13 people, Reuters reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Saudi Arabia: Deputy Crown Prince Suggests Possible Tax Hike, Subsidy Reduction

Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said in a Nov. 25 interview that the government may lower energy and water subsidies while adding a value added tax on cigarettes and sugary drinks, the Daily Star reported. Read more…

Tunisia: Suicide Bomber Caused Bus Explosion

Tunisian authorities have determined the methods used by a suicide bomber that attacked a presidential guard bus in Tunis on Nov. 25, The Daily Star reported. Read more…

Russia, Turkey: Leaders Will Meet Soon

Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu and his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov have agreed to meet in the coming days, a Turkish foreign ministry spokesman said, Reuters reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Syria: Russian Pilot Found Alive

The Russian pilot who went missing after his fighter jet was shot down by Turkey over Syria was rescued in a 12-hour special forces operation, BBC reported Nov. 25. Read more…