Geopolitical Diary

Dead Lines for Iran and Greece

An extension of Iran's nuclear talks will complicate, but not end, negotiations, while Greece's missed debt repayment deadline will have heavier consequences. Read more…

Editor's Choice
Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

Beyond the Greek Impasse

Global Affairs
By Philip Bobbitt
Philip-Bobbitt

Strategy in Real Time: Dueling with an Enemy That Moves

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

The Jihadist Trap of Here and Now

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Analysis

Tunisia Struggles With Militants

Geographic coherence, relatively strong political structures and anti-jihadist culture will enable Tunisia to withstand Islamist militants' attempts to turn the country into a jihadist base. Read more…

Maps
Video
Field Notes
Stratfor In The News
NBC News

Stratfor's Scott Stewart on Obama's Strategy for Training Iraqi Troops

Up to now, the U.S. training has typically focused on Shiites and Kurds. "In many ways, it's a continuation of the same thing," said Scott Stewart, a terrorism and security analyst at the global intelligence firm Stratfor. "It's an expansion of the training, and in a logical direction with Sunnis."

NBC News
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Situation/Intelligence Reports

Greece: Referendum Will Be Held, Prime Minister Says

During a speech broadcast live on state television July 1, Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said the July 5 referendum would still be held and called for Greeks to vote "no" and reject creditors' terms, the Guardian reported. Read more…

Egypt: Islamic State Affiliate Claims Attacks, Death Toll Rises To At Least 50

An Islamic State affiliate in Egypt claimed responsibility for the simultaneous attacks on Egyptian army checkpoints in Sinai on July 1, which killed at least 50 soldiers and military officials, The Daily Star reported. Read more…

Greece: Government Denies Complete Acceptance Of Bailout

The Greek government has issued a statement denying that it has fully accepted its creditors demands, The Guardian reported July 1. The denial refers to a proposal and letter Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras sent to Greek creditors June 30. Read more…

Greece: Tsipras Reportedly Agrees To Several Bailout Conditions

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras will accept most of the bailout conditions demanded by Greece’s creditors over the past weekend, though he is holding out on certain changes that could threaten a deal, the Financial Times reported July 1. Read more…

Cuba, U.S.: Deal Reportedly Reached To Reopen Embassies

The United States and Cuba have agreed to open embassies in each other’s capitals, an unnamed senior White House official said, ABC reported July 1. Read more…

Hong Kong: Thousands March In Annual Pro-Democracy Rally, But Turnout Down

Thousands of protesters marched in Hong Kong's annual July 1 pro-democracy rally and called for the resignation of Chief Executive Leung Chun-ying, the city-state's leader, Today Online, AFP and the South China Morning Post reported. Read more…

Iraq: 7,000 Peshmerga Fighters May Be Sent To Northern Syria, Lawmaker Says

Nearly 7,000 Peshmerga forces may be sent to the Kurdish city of Hasaka in northern Syria to fight against the Islamic State, Omar Ousi, a senior Iraqi Kurdish lawmaker, said July 1, Kurdpress reported, citing al-Watan. Read more…

Greece: Bank Branches Open To Pensioners As Creditors Prepare To Meet

Around 1,000 bank branches in Greece opened for the first of three days on July 1 in order to allow pensioners without bank cards to make withdrawals, Greek newspaper To Vima reported. Read more…

Egypt: Militants Attack Checkpoints In Sinai

At least 30 Egyptian soldiers were killed when as many as 70 militants launched attacks on five military checkpoints near the northern Sinai town of Sheikh Zuweid on July 1, an Egyptian army spokesman and unnamed security and military sources said, Ynet and Ahram Online reported. Read more…

Ukraine: Flow Of Russian Natural Gas Stopped

As of July 1, Ukraine has stopped receiving natural gas from Russia, Sputnik and Interfax reported, citing a spokesman from Ukrainian state-owned natural gas transport monopoly Ukrtransgaz. Read more…

U.S., Cuba: Embassies To Reopen July 1

The United States and Cuba have announced that their embassies will reopen to one another on July 1, AP reported June 30. Read more…

Venezuela: U.S. Senator Meets With Officials

United States Senator Robert Corker arrived in Venezuela on June 29 to meet with unspecified high-ranking Venezuelan officials, El Joropo reported June 30. Read more…

Iraq: Kurdish Region Maintains Oil Exports Through Baghdad

The Kurdish regional government has not decreased its oil exports through Iraq's state-owned oil company, Rudaw reported June 30. Read more…

Iran: Interim Nuclear Deal Extended To July 7

The U.S. State Department announced June 30 that it will extend the interim nuclear agreement with Iran to July 7, representative Marie Harf said, Associated Press reported. Read more…

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Authorities Stop Flotilla, Seize One Vessel

Israel deported former Tunisian President Moncef Marzouki and European Parliament lawmaker Ana Miranda on June 30 for their participation in a flotilla to break the Gaza Strip blockade, Naharnet reported. Read more…

Tunisia: Gunman In Hotel Attack Had Militant Contacts In Libya

The gunman who killed 39 people in a Tunisian resort area last week had contact with militants in Libya before the attack, Reuters reported June 30, citing an unnamed official source. Read more…

Syria: Islamic State Beheads 2 Women

For the first time, the Islamic State has beheaded two women in Syria on accusations of sorcery, AFP reported June 30, citing the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights. Read more…

Iraq: Kurds Increase Independent Oil Sales

Iraq's Kurdistan Regional Government has increased independent oil sales since mid-June after cutting its allocations to Iraq's state oil firm, Reuters reported June 30. Read more…

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