Geopolitical Diary
Editor's Choice

Jihadism in 2014: Jihadist Franchises

The rift between al Qaeda and the Islamic State has produced scores of local splits within regional jihadist groups, and will ultimately weaken both of them.

Greece Postpones a Crisis

Greece must clear a series of obstacles in the coming months if it hopes to complete its bailout program.

Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

Netanyahu, Obama and the Geopolitics of Speeches

Global Affairs
By Ian Morris
Ian Morris

The Not-So-New Europe

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

A Look Back at the 1993 World Trade Center Bombing


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Field Notes
Stratfor In The News
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Mark Fleming-Williams on Greece Bailout Talks

Live interview with Stratfor's economy analyst on CBC's prime time business program "The Exchange" to provide commentary on the different scenarios that could result from ongoing talks between the EU and Greece.

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Situation/Intelligence Reports

South Korea: U.S. Ambassador Attacked

The United States Ambassador to South Korea was injured in a razor attack carried out by a man claiming to be from the Woori Madang social activist group, Stratfor sources reported March 4.

Mexico: Oil Workers Planning Protests

Workers from state-owned energy firm Petroleos Mexicanos, known as Pemex, will protest in several areas of the country March 18 to stop the layoffs of thousands of employees, Reforma reported.

Mexico: Arrest Of Drug Lord Could Speed Up Fracture Of Los Zetas

Mexican federal troops captured Los Zetas’ top leader, Omar "Z-42" Trevino Morales, on March 4 in San Pedro Garza Garcia, Nuevo Leon state.

Iran, U.S.: Leaders Will Continue Talks March 15

Iran and the United States will continue nuclear talks March 15, Fars News Agency reported March 4.

Ukraine: Interest Rates Hiked To Stabilize Currency

Ukraine's central bank has increased the country's interest rate to stabilize the hryvnia and to stop inflation, Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty reported March 4.

Algeria: Attack On Foreign Companies Uncovered In The South

The Algerian army foiled a plot that targeted security headquarters and foreign companies in Hassi Messaoud and Ouergla, Echorouk reported March 4, citing unnamed sources.

Turkey, Iraq: Defense Ministers Discuss Retaking Mosul

Turkish Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz said his country would support Iraq in an operation to retake Mosul from the Islamic State, Anatolia reported March 4.

Argentina: Agricultural Groups Protest Government Policy

Three of Argentina’s leading agricultural organizations announced they will protest the government’s policies by halting the sale of grains from March 11 to 13, La Nacion reported March 4.

Greece: Syriza Leads Approval Poll, Despite Pessimism Over Economy

According to a new post-election poll, the Coalition of the Radical Left party, known as Syriza, still leads by a wide margin in approval ratings over the center-right New Democracy party, Greek Reporter reported March 3.

Iran: Newspaper Criticizes Banknote Design

Hard-line Iranian newspaper Kayhan criticized the absence of a nuclear energy symbol on the new design of the 50,000-rial banknote March 4.

China: Beijing Drafts Stricter Laws For Foreign NGOs

China needs a law to more tightly regulate foreign nongovernmental organizations for national security purposes, a government spokeswoman said ahead of the annual session of the National People’s Congress, Reuters reported March 4.

France: EU Fiscal Demands Will Be Met

French President Francois Hollande said his government would find 4 billion euros ($4.5 billion) in savings this year to meet EU deficit demands, EU Business reported March 4.

Iraq: Arbil Receives $208 Million In Budget Payment

The Kurdistan Regional Government has received its first 2015 budget payment of some $208 million from Baghdad, the spokesman for the region’s Minister of Finance said March 4, according to Iraq Oil Report.

North Korea: Russian Imports Boosting Economy, Sources Say

North Korea’s economy is expected to improve in 2015, lifted by Russian oil and grain deliveries under favorable loan contracts, North Korean sources say, Radio Free Asia reported March 4.

Turkey: Defense Minister In Iraq, Military Aid Sent

Turkish Defense Minister Ismet Yilmaz has arrived in Baghdad and will meet with Iraqi officials, Shafaq News reported March 4, a day after two Turkish military cargo aircraft arrived in Iraq.

China: Government Tests Rural Land Reforms

China will trial land reform measures in 33 county-level areas, testing the free trade of rural land for commercial purposes, AFP reported March 4, citing a spokeswoman for China’s legislature.

South Sudan: U.N. Security Council Agrees To Sanctions

The U.N. Security Council unanimously passed a resolution creating the framework for a sanctions regime for South Sudan, Reuters reported March 3.

Mozambique: Reform Activist Shot Dead

A gunman killed lawyer and government reform activist Gilles Cistac in Mozambique's capital city of Maputo on March 3, News24 reported.


Decade Forecast: 2015-2025

The United States' role as the pre-eminent power will be the sole constant in a decade of political fragmentation, economic shifts and changes in regional power structures.