Geopolitical Diary

Turkey Picks a Side

As tensions mount between Turkey and Russia, Moscow will have to decide how far it can go in dealing with an Ankara that is drawing closer to its NATO allies. Read more…

Editor's Choice
Geopolitical Weekly
By Reva Bhalla
Reva Bhalla

The Fear of the Other Europe

Global Affairs
By Ambika Vishwanath
Ambika Vishwanath

The Water Wars Waged by the Islamic State

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

An Online University of Terrorism


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Field Notes
Stratfor In The News

Scott Stewart on Soft Targets and Terrorism

Speaking with BuzzFeed News, Stratfor Vice President for Tactical Analysis Scott Stewart explains what a focus on soft targets tells us about terrorist capabilities.

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Situation/Intelligence Reports

Egypt: Alliance Loyal To President Wins Big In Parliamentary Vote

An electoral alliance loyal to Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi has won all 60 list seats available in the second round of Egypt's parliamentary election, Reuters reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Turkey: Military Releases Alleged Recording of Warning To Russian Pilots

The Turkish military on Nov. 25 released what it claims is a recording of a verbal warning to the Russian Su-24 fighter jet that Turkey shot down on Nov. 24, Reuters reported. Read more…

Syria: Airstrike Hits Trucks At Turkish Border, Aid Workers Say

Footage from the Turkey-Syria border showed trucks burning following an alleged airstrike, Reuters reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Syria: U.S. Imposes Sanctions On Syrian Government Supporters

The United States imposed sanctions on four individuals and six entities, including the Russian bank, for supporting Syrian President Bashar al Assad, Reuters reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Turkey: Ankara Gas Explosion Injures 5

An explosion at a dry ice plant in the Turkish capital on Nov. 25 prompted panic as residents initially feared a coordinated terrorist attack, Trend News Agency reported, citing Turkish newspaper Haberturk. Read more…

Tunisia: Islamic State Claims Nov. 24 Bus Bombing

The Islamic State has claimed responsibility for the Nov. 24 suicide bombing of a Tunisian presidential guard bus, which killed at least 13 people, Reuters reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Saudi Arabia: Deputy Crown Prince Suggests Possible Tax Hike, Subsidy Reduction

Saudi Deputy Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said in a Nov. 25 interview that the government may lower energy and water subsidies while adding a value added tax on cigarettes and sugary drinks, the Daily Star reported. Read more…

Tunisia: Suicide Bomber Caused Bus Explosion

Tunisian authorities have determined the methods used by a suicide bomber that attacked a presidential guard bus in Tunis on Nov. 25, The Daily Star reported. Read more…

Russia, Turkey: Leaders Will Meet Soon

Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu and his Russian counterpart Sergei Lavrov have agreed to meet in the coming days, a Turkish foreign ministry spokesman said, Reuters reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Syria: Russian Pilot Found Alive

The Russian pilot who went missing after his fighter jet was shot down by Turkey over Syria was rescued in a 12-hour special forces operation, BBC reported Nov. 25. Read more…

Russia: Officials Threaten To Cut Energy Supplies To Ukraine Over Crimea Blackout

Russia will cut off natural gas supplies to Ukraine in response to a dispute over a power blackout in Crimea and is threatening to halt coal deliveries, Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said Nov. 24, Reuters reported. Read more…

Turkey: Downed Russian Jet No Threat To Energy Ties, Energy Minister Says

The downing of the Russian warplane does not constitute a threat to energy ties between Russia and Turkey, Turkish Energy Minister Berat Albayrak said Nov. 24, BBC reported. Read more…

Egypt: Hotel Car Bomb Kills 7 In North Sinai

A car bomb detonated on Nov. 24 outside a hotel in North Sinai, killing seven, BBC reported. Read more…

Tunisia: President Declares State Of Emergency After Bus Explosion

Tunisian President Beji Caid Essebsi declared a 30-day state of emergency and placed a curfew on the capital of Tunis on Nov. 24, following an explosion on a bus carrying presidential guard that killed 12 people, BBC reported, quoting officials. Read more…

France: Hostage Situation In Town Near Belgian Border

Armed men fired gunshots and took hostages Nov. 24 in the northern French town of Roubaix, a police source said, Reuters reported. Read more…

Russia: Military Suspends Contact With Turkey

Russia will discontinue all military contact with Turkey following the downing of a Russian fighter jet near the Turkey-Syria border, the chief of the Russian General Staff said Nov. 24, Interfax reported. Read more…

Turkey: Russian Fighter Entered Turkish Airspace, NATO Says

NATO's assessment of the downing of the Russian warplane near the Turkey-Syria border shows that the Russian warplane did fly into Turkish airspace, NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg said during an extraordinary meeting in Brussels on Nov. 24, BBC reported. Read more…

U.S., France: Presidents Respond To Downed Russian Fighter Jet

U.S. President Barack Obama responded to the downing of a Russian fighter jet on the Turkey-Syria border Nov. 24 by saying Turkey had the right to defend its territory and airspace, BBC reported. Read more…