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Reva Goujon on Russian Spy Ships

Speaking with Fox News, Stratfor VP of Global Analysis Reva Goujon suggests a spy ship seen near the U.S. coast is a sign Russia's Plan A is starting to backfire.

Fox News
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Matthew Bey on OPEC Compliance

Speaking on Bloomberg Canada, Stratfor Energy Analyst Matthew Bey examines the reality behind OPEC's latest compliance report.

Bloomberg Canada
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Geopolitical Diary
Geopolitical Weekly
. By Adriano Bosoni
Global Affairs
. By Luc De Keyser
Security Weekly
. By Scott Stewart
Situation Reports

U.S.: President Names Replacement National Security Adviser

U.S. President Donald Trump has chosen Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster to replace Gen. Michael Flynn as national security adviser, BBC reported Feb. 20. Read more…

U.S.: Russia's Permanent U.N. Representative Dead

Vitaly Churkin, Russia's permanent representative to the United Nations since 2006, died unexpectedly in New York on Feb. 20, Russia's Foreign Ministry announced the same day, RT reported. Read more…

Ecuador: Moreno Just Shy Of Victory With Most Of The Presidential Vote Counted

With 88 percent of total votes counted, Alianza Pais candidate Lenin Moreno is just shy of the 40 percent threshold needed to claim Ecuador's presidency without a runoff, El Comercio reported Feb. 20. Read more…

Venezuela: Vice President Visited Cuba Over The Weekend

Venezuelan Vice President Tareck El Aissami briefly visited Havana over the weekend, where he most likely met with Cuban President Raul Castro, according to anonymous sources with knowledge of the visit Read more…

India: Delivery Of Russian Military Helicopters To Begin In 2019

Russia will begin the initial delivery of military helicopters to India in 2019, the head of Russia's state-owned Russian Helicopters said Feb. 20, Reuters reported. Read more…

Syria: Russia Announces 4 Servicemen Killed By Bomb

Russia's Defense Ministry said Feb. 20 that four Russian servicemen were killed and two others were wounded Feb. 16 when their vehicle struck a roadside bomb in Syria, AP reported. Read more…

Turkey: Trial Begins For Soldiers Accused Of Attempting To Kill President During Failed Coup

The trial began Feb. 20 for nearly 50 people accused of attempting to assassinate Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan during the country's failed coup last July, Reuters reported. Read more…

Germany: Chancellor Cancels Visit To Algeria

German Chancellor Angela Merkel canceled her trip to Algeria on Feb. 20, AFP reported. Merkel called off the visit at the last minute, just an hour before her flight was scheduled to leave. Read more…

Libya: Prime Minister Survives Assassination Attempt

The head of Libya's U.N.-backed Government of National Accord, Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj, survived an assassination attempt in Tripoli on Feb. 20, the Libya Observer reported. Read more…

Belgium: U.S. Vice President Meets With European Leaders

U.S. Vice President Mike Pence met with top European leaders Feb. 20 in Brussels, FAZ and the Washington Post reported. Read more…

Iraq: U.S. Defense Secretary Mattis Visits

U.S. Defense Secretary James Mattis is visiting Iraq on Feb. 20, the first time he has been to the country since taking up his new position, Reuters reported. Read more…

Cambodia: Parliament Approves Rules Allowing For Dissolution Of Opposition Parties

The Cambodian parliament on Feb. 20 amended the country’s 1998 Law on Political Parties to ban politicians with a criminal conviction from standing for election, the Phnom Penh Post and Cambodia Daily reported. Read more…

North Korea: Malaysia Recalls Envoy Over Assassination Row

Malaysia recalled its ambassador to North Korea on Feb. 20 amid a diplomatic dust-up over Kuala Lumpur’s refusal to hand over the body of Kim Jong-nam, the half-brother of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un, following his apparent assassination in the Malaysian capital last week, Benar reported. Read more…

Ecuador: Alianza Pais Candidate Leads Presidential Race, Exit Polls Show

Exit polls in Ecuador show Alianza Pais candidate Lenin Moreno leads with 42.9 percent of votes in the country's presidential election, teleSUR reported Feb. 19. Read more…

U.S.: SpaceX Rocket Launch Successful

SpaceX successfully launched a rocket Feb. 19 carrying a cargo ship for the International Space Station, BBC reported. Read more…

U.S.: Vice President Meets With Turkish Prime Minister

U.S. Vice President Mike Pence told Turkish Prime Minister Binali Yildirim that Washington was keen for a new start in relations between the two countries, sources in Yildirim's office said Feb. 19, Reuters reported. Read more…

U.S.: Senators Considering More Sanctions On Iran For Missile Tests

U.S. Republican Senators plan to introduce legislation to impose further sanctions on Iran, accusing it of violating U.N. Security Council resolutions by testing ballistic missiles, U.S. Senator Lindsey Graham said Feb. 19 during the Munich Security Conference, Reuters reported. Read more…

Iraq: Security Forces Begin Offensive On Western Mosul

Iraqi government forces launched an offensive Feb. 19 to retake the western part of Mosul from the Islamic State, BBC reported. Read more…


2017 Annual ForecastFree

Long-term trends tend to quietly build over decades and then noisily surface as the politics catch up. Such is the case for 2017. Read more…