Geopolitical Diary
Editor's Choice

U.S. Agriculture Wilts During California Drought

California's continuing drought will affect the state's agricultural production, while the overuse of its water resources could have both regional and global implications.

Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

The Middle Eastern Balance of Power Matures

Global Affairs
By Jay Ogilvy

Backtracking From the Brink in Ukraine

Security Weekly
By Scott Stewart
Scott Stewart

The Islamic State's Appeal

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Stratfor In The News
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Stratfor's Reva Bhalla on Yemen Unrest

In a live interview on CNBC's "Fast Money," Stratfor's Vice President of Global Analysis discusses the conflict in Yemen and its potential impact on oil markets.

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George Friedman on the Decade Ahead

In a live interview with Bloomberg TV's "Market Makers," Stratfor's founder and chairman addresses predictions from the firm's Decade Forecast, including Russia's inability to survive in its current form and the fragmentation of the European Union.

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Fred Burton on U.S. Diplomatic Security

Stratfor's Vice President of Intelligence joined C-SPAN's "Washington Journal" program to discuss how the State Department and other agencies handle security at U.S. diplomatic embassies worldwide.

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Situation/Intelligence Reports

Chad: Army Clashes With Boko Haram Near Nigerian Border

Clashes between Chadian troops and Boko Haram insurgents 10 kilometers (6 miles) outside Malam Fatori on April 1 killed hundreds of militants and nine government soldiers, Colonel Azem Bermandoa said, Reuters reported.

U.S.: California Governor Orders Water Restrictions

Gov. Jerry Brown of California issued an executive order April 1 imposing mandatory restrictions on water use amid crisis-level drought conditions, The New York Times reported.

Turkey: Istanbul Police Fend Off Attack

Police exchanged gunfire with two attackers outside the main headquarters of the Istanbul police in the Aksaray neighborhood April 1, killing one woman carrying a bomb and leaving one officer injured, Istanbul Gov. Vasip Sahin said, The Daily Star reported.

Yemen: Al-Houthis Entering Central Aden, Reports Say

According to witnesses, al-Houthi militants accompanied by military allies loyal to former President Ali Abdullah Saleh are advancing in a column of tanks into the center of Aden, Reuters reported April 1.

Mali: Shells Launched At U.N. Base In North

Unknown attackers shelled a U.N. base on the outskirts of Ansongo, a town in northern Mali, Reuters reported April 1.

Yemen: Foreign Minister Calls For Ground Support

The foreign minister of Yemen's internationally recognized government is calling for the Saudi-led coalition to send in ground troops, AFP reported April 1.

Libya: Airstrikes Hit Airport Controlled By Al-Thani Supporters

An unidentified warplane attacked the airport in Zintan, a town allied with the internationally recognized government of Abdullah al-Thani, Reuters reported April 1.

Syria: Militants Take Control Of Refugee Camp In Damascus

Islamic State members seized control of large portions of the Yarmouk Palestinian refugee camp in southern Damascus on April 1, AFP reported.

Romania: NATO To Decide On Positioning Weapons

NATO forces commander in Europe Gen. Philip M. Breedlove said the alliance would decide in the near future on pre-positioning heavy weapons in Romania, Act Media reported April 1.

Iran: After Missed Deadline, Negotiators Still Hope To Reach Deal

After six countries and Iran failed to meet a March 31 deadline for a framework nuclear deal, Iran's senior negotiator said he hoped to reach an agreement by the night of April 1, Reuters reported.

Turkey: Suspects Detained In Connection To Courthouse Standoff

Turkish authorities have detained 22 individuals suspected to be linked to the banned Revolutionary People's Liberation Party-Front, a day after members of the group held Turkish prosecutor Mehmet Selim Kiraz hostage at an Istanbul courthouse, AFP reported April 1.

Ukraine: Russia Grants Gas Discount, Kiev Wants To Extend Negotiations

Ukraine looks to negotiate with Russia on natural gas prices until the end of the 2016 heating season, Ukrainian Minister of Energy and Coal Industry Vladimir Demchishin said, Tass reported April 1.

Turkey: Armed Intruders Enter Ruling Party's Office In Istanbul

Police have detained two armed men who entered an Istanbul office of Turkey’s ruling Justice and Development Party, Today’s Zaman reported April 1.

Egypt: United States To Lift Arms Freeze

U.S. President Barack Obama announced the lifting of the hold on U.S. arms deliveries to Egypt first imposed in October 2013 after the military took control of the government, The New York Times reported March 31.

Ukraine: Putin Supports Extending Natural Gas Deal

Russian President Vladimir Putin said March 31 that he would support a proposal to extend the natural gas deal with Ukraine set to expire April 1 for a further three months, according to a statement made during a meeting with Prime Minister Dmitri Medvedev, RFE/RL reported.

Turkey: Sledgehammer Coup Suspects Acquitted

A Turkish court on March 31 acquitted all 236 suspects in the Operation Sledgehammer coup plot trial in line with a request by Public Prosecutor Ramazan Oksuz to dismiss the case, Today's Zaman reported.

Turkey: Hostage Standoff Ends With Prosecutor Badly Wounded

According to Turkish newspaper Cumhuriyet, the two men holding a Turkish prosecutor hostage have been killed, and the prosecutor is reportedly being treated at a hospital with critical injuries.

Iran: Nuclear Talks Could Extend Past Midnight Deadline

Nuclear talks between six world powers and Iran could go past the midnight deadline for a framework deal, U.S. officials said, BBC reported March 31.

Forecasts

Decade Forecast: 2015-2025

The United States' role as the pre-eminent power will be the sole constant in a decade of political fragmentation, economic shifts and changes in regional power structures.