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Farewell to an Arms Treaty

If either the United States or Russia abandons their agreement on intermediate-range nuclear weapons, they could revive the kind of arm race that typified the Cold War. Read more…

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Stratfor In The News
Fox News

Reva Goujon on Russian Spy Ships

Speaking with Fox News, Stratfor VP of Global Analysis Reva Goujon suggests a spy ship seen near the U.S. coast is a sign Russia's Plan A is starting to backfire.

Fox News
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Matthew Bey on OPEC Compliance

Speaking on Bloomberg Canada, Stratfor Energy Analyst Matthew Bey examines the reality behind OPEC's latest compliance report.

Bloomberg Canada
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Perspectives

Geopolitical Diary
Geopolitical Weekly
. By Rodger Baker
Global Affairs
. By
Security Weekly
. By Scott Stewart
Situation Reports

Syria: Government Forces, Turkey-Backed Rebels Clash In North

Rebels backed by Turkey clashed with Syrian government forces in northern Syria late on Feb. 26, Reuters reported. Read more…

Syria: Al Qaeda Deputy Killed In Apparent Drone Strike

The suspected deputy of al Qaeda was killed Feb. 26 in Idlib province, northern Syria, in what was likely a U.S. drone strike, according to social media reports. Read more…

Syria: Loyalist Forces Advance Into Areas South Of Al-Bab

The Syrian army and its allies made a sudden advance on Feb. 26 into areas held by the Islamic State in northwest Syria, a war monitor said, Reuters reported. Read more…

Belarus: Thousands Demonstrate Against Labor Law

Local media in Belarus said about 3,000 people have demonstrated across the country against a new labor law that targets the unemployed, AP reported Feb. 26. Read more…

Iran: Naval Drills In Strait Of Hormuz, Gulf Of Oman, Bab El-Mandeb And Indian Ocean Begin

Iran launched naval drills on Feb. 26, a naval commander said, Reuters reported. Read more…

Iraq: Security Forces Advance In Western Mosul To Capture Southernmost Bridge

Iraqi forces moved deeper into western Mosul on Feb. 26, aiming to capture a bridge across the Tigris River, Reuters reported. Read more…

Kyrgyzstan: Opposition Leader Arrested On Corruption Charges

Kyrgyzstan detained a prominent opposition leader on charges of fraud and corruption, AP reported Feb. 26. Read more…

Germany: No Indication Heidelberg Assault Was Terrorist Attack, Police Say

There are no indications that the vehicular assault caused by a knife-wielding attacker who drove a rental car into a crowd in the German city of Heidelberg was a terrorist attack, authorities said Feb. 26, Reuters reported. Read more…

Russia: Thousands Remembering Boris Nemtsov March Outside Kremlin

Thousands of people marched in Moscow to remember Russian opposition leader Boris Nemtsov, who was shot dead outside the Kremlin in 2015, BBC reported Feb. 26. Read more…

Australia, Indonesia: Full Military Ties Restored

Australia and Indonesia restored full military ties Feb. 26, less than two months after Indonesia suspended cooperation over "offensive" teaching material found at an Australian base, BBC reported. Read more…

Germany: Attacker Drives Car Into Heidelberg Pedestrian Area, 3 Injured

A knife-wielding attacker drove a car into a crowd outside of a bakery on Bismarckplatz in the German city of Heidelberg on Feb. 25, BBC reported. Read more…

Armenia, Azerbaijan: Deadly Clashes Occur Along Nagorno-Karabakh Front Lines

Armenian troops alongside allied Karabakh separatist forces clashed with Azerbaijani troops Feb. 25 in the Khojavend-Fizuli sector of the Nagorno-Karabakh line of contact, the military zone that separates their respective positions, leaving around five Azerbaijani soldiers dead, local sources indicated along with AFP. Read more…

Iraq: U.S. Advisors Empowered To Call In Airstrikes

U.S. military advisors assisting with the recapture of Mosul from the Islamic State have been empowered to call in strikes instead of routing requests through a joint command center further from the battle zone, U.S. Army Lt. Col. James Browning said Feb. 25, AP reported. Read more…

Turkey: Ruling Party Kicks Off Constitutional Referendum Campaign

Turkey's ruling Justice and Development Party (AKP) officially kicked off its campaign Feb. 25 in support of constitutional amendments ahead of an April 16 nationwide referendum with a rally by Prime Minister Binali Yildirim in Ankara, Hurriyet reported. Read more…

Syria: Jihadist Group Claims Homs Suicide Attack

Syrian jihadist group Tahrir al-Sham claimed responsibility for Feb. 25 attacks by numerous gunmen and six suicide bombers on military and state security bases in the Ghouta and Mahatta districts of Homs that killed 32 people and wounded 24 others, Homs Gov. Talal Barazi said, SANA news agency reported. Read more…

North Korea: Envoy Denied U.S. Visa To Attend Back-Channel Talks

The U.S. Department of State has denied a visa for North Korean Ministry of Foreign Affairs envoy Choe Son Hui, who was set to meet two former U.S. officials March 1-2 for back-channel talks in New York, Wall Street Journal reported Feb. 25 citing unnamed officials. Read more…

Malaysia: Kim Jong Nam Killed By VX Nerve Agent

An autopsy has reportedly revealed that Kim Jong Nam — half-brother of North Korean leader Kim Jong Un — had residue of VX nerve agent on his hands and face, Malaysian authorities said, Australia's 9 News reported Feb. 24. Read more…

Moldova: NATO Liaison Office Will Open In June

In a Feb. 23 phone conversation, Moldovan Prime Minister Pavel Filip and NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg agreed that a NATO liaison office planned in Chisinau would open in June, Infotag news agency reported. Read more…

Forecasts

2017 Annual ForecastFree

Long-term trends tend to quietly build over decades and then noisily surface as the politics catch up. Such is the case for 2017. Read more…