Understanding what Egypt's future holds requires examining the evolution of the incumbent political arrangement and the central role played by the military.
While on the surface, protests in Jordan appear similar to those in Egypt, the nature of the political systems and grievances in each country make the threats to regime stability much different.
In the face of the unrest in Egypt, STRATFOR's job is to sort through all the claimants and wannabees of this revolution and find out who the main powers really are.
Whether the younger Mubarak has actually left Egypt is less important than the fact that a U.S.-based news site was the source of the rumor and that Washington has issued a denial.
The fall of Tunisian President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali represents the first collapse of an autocratic regime due to popular uprising in the Arab world and is sure to attract the attention of other Arab regimes.
