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The Devolution of Al Qaeda

Al Qaeda has yet to follow its spectacular 9/11 attacks in the United States with anything nearly as dramatic or effective. Why? The once-centralized terrorist group is becoming more amorphous. Yet the likelihood of another big attack could increase as memories of 9/11 fade and as jihadists hone their skills in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Key Analysis
Geopolitical Weekly Free
The Jihadist Strategic Dilemma
The Jihadist Strategic Dilemma
December 7, 2009 2125 GMT
As uncomfortable as the U.S. position in the jihadist struggle seems, the jihadists are in a much worse position. [more]
Afghanistan: The Evolution of a Strategy
Afghanistan: The Evolution of a Strategy
December 2, 2009 2056 GMT
With U.S. President Barack Obama's speech at West Point, the U.S. military now has its marching orders in Afghanistan. [more]
U.S., Afghanistan: Leaks and Publicity Preceding the Announcement
U.S., Afghanistan: Leaks and Publicity Preceding the Announcement
December 1, 2009 1804 GMT
The broad strokes of U.S. President Barack Obama's Afghanistan strategy -- to be announced later Dec. 1 -- are emerging through deliberate leaks and coordinated publicity efforts. [more]
Afghanistan: Status Update
Afghanistan: Status Update
November 30, 2009 2238 GMT
STRATFOR examines the current state of the war in Afghanistan ahead of U.S. President Barack Obama's anticipated announcement on the way forward there. [more]
Security Weekly Free
The Death of a Top Indonesian Militant
The Death of a Top Indonesian Militant
September 23, 2009 1744 GMT
The death of top Indonesian militant leader Noordin Mohammad Top leaves a significant leadership vacuum, and his group will be challenged to fill it. [more]
Security Weekly Free
Algeria: Taking the Pulse of AQIM
Algeria: Taking the Pulse of AQIM
June 24, 2009 1921 GMT
An unusually deadly attack in Algeria on June 17 could have been a fluke, or a sign that skilled jihadists are returning home from foreign battlefields. [more]
More Analysis
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