Ecuador

While Ecuador's indigenous groups do not look particularly strong at the moment, they have toppled presidents from time time, giving Ecuadorian President Rafael Correa incentive to keep on their good side. [more]

Colombia has legitimate reasons for reducing energy exports to Ecuador and Venezuela, but the reductions could have political consequences. [more]

A deal between Colombia and Brazil permitting cross-border hot pursuit operations has significant regional implications. (With STRATFOR map) [more]

Ecuador hopes to alleviate some economic troubles by opening a new bank to collect and distribute remittances from abroad. [more]

Ecuador will seek to terminate the contracts of two foreign oil firms whose production just about makes up the cuts mandated by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. [more]

Ecuador's decision to borrow from its own Social Security Institute and impose oil production cuts on foreign firms will help precipitate an economic crisis. [more]

Ecuador's decision to default on its debt could mean it will have to drop the U.S. dollar as its currency and create a new currency system. [more]

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries says it plans to reduce output by more than 4 million barrels per day, twice the expected amount. But will the cuts matter? [more]

Ecuador says it will default on a number of government bonds -- making it the first developing country to default in the present global economic crisis. [more]

Failed talks between the Andean Community and the European Union show how difficult it is for Latin America to advance regional trade. [more]

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries is making production cuts, but probably not enough to keep oil prices high. [more]

Latin American countries that are vulnerable to ripple effects from the global financial crisis will be hit hard. (With Stratfor Interactive Map) [more]

Russia has sent its former intelligence chief Nikolai Patrushev to Latin America to strengthen Moscow's relationship with countries in the region. [more]

Voters clear a path for the president toward institutional and economic reform. [more]

The following is an internal Stratfor document produced to provide high-level guidance to our analysts. This document is not a forecast, but rather a series of guidelines for understanding and evaluating events, as well as suggestions on areas for focus. [more]

The seizure of several Ecuadorian media outlets -- ostensibly because of a decade-old bankruptcy dispute -- raises questions about the stability of the government. [more]

Colombia will delay restoring diplomatic relations with Ecuador because of "aggressive" comments by Ecuador's president, the Colombian foreign minister has announced. [more]

Interpol cleared Colombian authorities of claims that it may have tampered with documents it attained during a raid into Ecuador. Those documents allegedly support claims by Colombia that both Ecuador and Venezuela were cooperating with the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia. [more]

Geographic barriers have decreased conflict between South American nations. But as countries in the continent jockey for political and economic clout, the continent's geopolitical balance will change. [more]

Though the world is watching the growing tensions between Venezuela and Colombia, the issue is a crisis manufactured by the government in Caracas for President Hugo Chavez's own ends, argues Peter Zeihan, Stratfor's director of global analysis. [more]