Cuba

Russia is sending aid to Cuba after Hurricane Gustav struck the island. [more]

The following are internal Stratfor documents produced to provide high-level guidance to our analysts. These documents are not forecasts, but rather a series of guidelines for understanding and evaluating events, as well as suggestions on areas for focus. [more]

Observing who did not attend the opening ceremonies of the Beijing Olympics reveals a who's who of leaders with more serious concerns at home. [more]

With the ink barely dry on stories about the rumors of a renewed Russian military presence in Cuba, Deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin visits Havana — and the Kremlin was apparently keen to make sure Washington noticed. [more]

Russian Deputy Prime Minister Igor Sechin arrived in Cuba on July 30 to discuss Russian energy investments on the island with the Cuban leadership. [more]

Russian media have published a series of stories and denials about a possible plan for Russia to relocate a refueling base and place a military presence in Cuba, right on the doorstep of the United States. [more]

Russian media have been rife with rumors, confirmations — and now denials — that Moscow might send nuclear-capable strategic bombers to Cuba. An interpretation of the press play, and the message being sent to Washington. [more]

Stratfor considers the potential impact of a return of Russian submarines -- rather than Russian aircraft -- to Cuba. (With Stratfor map). [more]

A slew of reports about a possible Russian military deployment to Cuba is a revival of the classic Soviet-style propaganda game. [more]

Rumors of Russian bombers deploying to Cuba suggest Havana is weighing its options. [more]

Rumors are flying about a new Russian presence in Cuba.(With Stratfor map). [more]

Russia has been talking to Cuba about putting a base in the Caribbean country -- but a small aerial refueling base, not a facility holding any munitions. [more]

Former Cuban President Fidel Castro's comments about the release of hostages held by the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia could signal that Cuba is considering its neighbors' opinions more than it did before. [more]

LUKoil's plans to purchase a refinery in Cuba are on hold because of the difficulty of investing in crude production in Venezuela. [more]

The following are internal Stratfor documents produced to provide high-level guidance to our analysts. These documents are not forecasts, but rather a series of guidelines for understanding and evaluating events, as well as suggestions on areas for focus. [more]

An announcement that wage equality will be dropped signals an improved Cuban economy. [more]

Stratfor's fourth in-depth look at organized crime focuses on Cuba. In atypical fashion, organized crime in Cuba is run by the state and stems from a long tradition that places Cuban military and intelligence apparatus into positions of control over the island's industry while both fostering and profiting from drug traffickers and smugglers. (With Stratfor map) [more]

The Cuban foreign minister said his government is considering easing restrictions on foreign travel for Cubans. [more]

Speculation abounds about how -- and if -- Cuba will engage in economic and political reform now that Fidel Castro has said he will not return to power. [more]

Raul Castro is reaching out to Brazilian President "Lula" da Silva, but Brazil's effect on the Cuban regime is likely to be destabilizing. [more]