Israel, Syria and Lebanon: A Tangled Web

Graphic for Geopolitical Intelligence Report
The Middle East, already monstrously complex, grew more complex last week. [more]
Geopolitical Diary Graphic -- FINAL
Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert could be indicted on charges of bribery. There is violence in Lebanon between Hezbollah and those opposed to it. The Turks suspended Israeli-Syrian talks because of leaks. Things are in flux in the Middle East. [more]
Lebanese protester with burning tires
Violence spread throughout Lebanon on May 8 during a second day of protests by Hezbollah. [more]
Geopolitical Diary Graphic -- FINAL
Turkish Foreign Minister Ali Babacan said Ankara would continue to act as a go-between to encourage Israel and Syria to restart direct negotiations, Haaretz reported Monday. [more]
Geopolitical Diary Graphic -- FINAL
The Bush administration briefed the U.S. Congress on April 24 about the Sept. 6, 2007, Israeli raid on Syria. But why now? And why is the United States explaining an Israeli raid? [more]
Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moualem
Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moualem said that a peace deal could be reached between Israel and Syria as long as Israel withdraws to its June 4, 1967 border, state news agency SANA reported April 24. [more]
Geopolitical Diary Graphic -- FINAL
Israel and Syria appear to be mulling over a peace deal involving the Golan Heights. The situation has many fascinating aspects -- including Iran's stance on a possible deal. [more]
Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moallem
April 23, 2008 2115 GMT
Syrian Foreign Minister Walid al-Moallem made comments April 23 that provide further proof that serious discussions between Syria and Israel are under way. [more]
Israeli soldiers at Golan Heights observation post
The Golan Heights are symbolically important to both Israel and Syria, but larger strategic considerations could make them part of a rumored peace deal. (With Stratfor map) [more]
Geopolitical Diary Graphic -- FINAL
Rumors are surfacing that Syria and Israel are in serious peace talks. Such rumors are not unusual -- but seeing Israel and Syria acknowledge the talks are taking place is something new. [more]
Israeli F-16
Syria may be taking delivery of a new short-range air defense system from Russia. It will not alter the strategic picture for Damascus, however. [more]
Syrian President Bashar al Assad
Syrian motives for postponing the release of an investigative report into the assassination of Hezbollah leader Imad Mughniyah may prove much more complicated. [more]
Poster of Imad Mughnieh
Hezbollah is looking to align with Sunni and jihadist groups to retaliate against Israel to a leader's recent assassination. But such a strategy is unlikely to stave off a counterattack by Israel. [more]
Graphic for Geopolitical Intelligence Report
April 8, 2008 1807 GMT
As usual, rumors of an Arab-Israeli war are swirling in the Middle East. [more]
Lebanon--Hezbollah leader Hasan Nasrallah, shaking hands
April 7, 2008 1726 GMT
Syria's attempts to elevate its intimidation campaign in Lebanon could be overshadowed by what appears to be an imminent rematch between Israel and Hezbollah. [more]
Geopolitical Diary Graphic -- FINAL
Israel launched a major, nationwide military exercise on Sunday, code named Turning Point 2. That name is meant to send a message to the Israeli public -- and to Israel's adversaries. [more]
Syrian Soldiers Loading a Tank in Lebanon in 2005
Israeli and Syrian military officials continue to deny that any unusual Syrian troop movements have been taking place since April 3. [more]
Syrian soldiers
Sources have reported unusual troop movements along the Syrian-Lebanese border. [more]
Closing Session of the March 30 Arab League Summit
April 1, 2008 1937 GMT
In the wake of the failed March 29-30 Arab League summit in Damascus, Syria will be working to combat its regional isolation and secure recognition of its interests in Lebanon. [more]
Israeli soldiers near lebanon border
A number of indications suggest that Israel and Hezbollah could be readying themselves for a military confrontation in Lebanon in the near future. [more]