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NATO Finds Balance in Eastern Europe

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By George Friedman

The Islamic State Reshapes the Middle East

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Analysis
Russia Expands Military Influence Over Georgia

Russia Expands Military Influence Over Georgia

U.S. Naval Update Map: Nov. 27, 2014

U.S. Naval Update Map: Nov. 27, 2014

Ambitious European Investment Fund Unveiled

Long-Awaited European Investment Fund Unveiled

Intelligence Report

Syria: Damascus Shares Intelligence with Washington

North Korean Talks Revive Russia's Pacific Push

North Korean Talks Revive Russia's Pacific Push

Protesters hold flags and placards during a rally in front of the parliament building in Budapest on Nov.17.

In Central Europe, Governments Are Caught in the Middle

Maps
Video
Field Notes
Stratfor In The News
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Stratfor's Reva Bhalla on the U.S.-Iran Nuclear Negotiations

“Rouhani has been facing rising dissent, not just from the traditional IRGC [Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps] camp, but from a large segment of the public that is growing disillusioned with his policy because they’re not seeing the level of economic relief they were promised,” said Reva Bhalla, the vice president of global analysis at the geopolitical intelligence firm, Stratfor.

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Situation/Intelligence Reports

Nigeria: Triple Explosions At Kano Mosque Kill Scores

Three explosions at the Central Mosque in Kano killed scores of people during Friday prayers Nov. 28, This Day Live and BBC reported.

U.K.: EU Membership Is Dependent On Immigration Measure, Cameron Says

British Prime Minister David Cameron plans to announce that the United Kingdom's membership in the European Union is dependent on a proposal that EU immigrants will have to work in Britain for four years before they can claim benefits, The Guardian reported Nov. 28.

Colombia: Attorney General Will Present Plan To Demobilize Criminal Groups

Colombian Attorney General Eduardo Montealegre will soon present a government-sponsored plan to demobilize the country's criminal groups, Caracol Radio reported Nov. 28.

U.K.: Scotland Granted New Tax And Spending Powers

Britain's primary political parties have agreed to give the Scottish Parliament new powers to set income tax rates, keep tax revenues and control welfare spending, AP reported Nov. 28.

Italy: Unemployment Rate Reaches Record High Since 1977

Italy's unemployment rate reached 13.2 percent in October, the highest the country has seen since 1977, Italian statistics institute ISTAT said, ANSA reported Nov. 28.

EU: Bloc Will Not Immediately Enact Sanctions Against France, Italy

European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said the European Union would not enact sanctions against France and Italy right away, despite the two countries' failure to meet their public finance targets, Bloomberg News reported Nov. 28.

Egypt: More Than 100 Islamists Arrested Ahead Of Planned Demonstrations

Egyptian security forces arrested more than 100 Islamists ahead of pro-Muslim Brotherhood extremist groups' planned anti-government protests in Cairo, AP and MENA news agency reported Nov. 28.

OPEC: Production Target Remains Unchanged

OPEC has left its oil output ceiling at 30 million barrels per day, Bloomberg reported Nov. 27.

Afghanistan: Violence Continues In Kabul

A large explosion struck central Kabul on Nov. 27, not long after a suicide car bombing targeting a British Embassy vehicle killed six people, Al Arabiya reported.

EU: New Sanctions Imposed Over Ukraine Crisis

The European Union has imposed new sanctions on 13 individuals and businesses connected to the separatist Ukrainian areas of Donetsk and Luhansk, Sputnik News reported Nov. 27, citing a report from RIA Novosti.

Iraq: Bombing Kills 7 In Baghdad's Sadr City

At least seven people were killed when a bomb exploded in a minibus in a mainly Shiite area of Baghdad, Al Jazeera reported Nov. 27.

Thailand: Election Postponed Until 2016

A general election in Thailand initially scheduled for next year will be pushed back to 2016, Reuters reported Nov. 27, citing comments from Thai Deputy Prime Minister Prawit Wongsuwan.

Afghanistan: Suicide Attack Targets British Embassy Workers

A British Embassy worker and an Afghan member of embassy staff were killed in a suicide attack in Kabul, BBC reported Nov. 27.

Syria: Damascus Shares Intelligence with Washington

The United States will avoid overt cooperation with Damascus but will use its relationships in the Middle East to focus its mission against the Islamic State.

Cameroon: Military Frees 16 Hostages From FDPC Militants

Cameroon's military freed 16 hostages, among them a Polish priest, from Democratic Front of the Central African People (FDPC) militants, the government announced Nov. 26, News24 reported.

Qatar: Training Syrian Rebels With U.S. Help

The Qatari military, with help from the United States, is covertly training moderate Syrian rebels to fight the Islamic State and Syrian government forces, Reuters reported Nov. 26.

Forecasts
2014 Fourth Quarter Forecast

Stratfor's Fourth Quarter Forecast 2014