Geopolitical Weekly

Russia is shoring itself up in anticipation of a new U.S. geopolitical surge after Washington turns its attention from the Middle East and South Asia.

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While the stakes in the Libyan crisis are not terribly high, the lesson of Iraq is a different story given the potential for a reshaped region.

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Washington's struggle in the Middle East since the 9/11 attacks appears to have entered a new phase. (With STRATFOR map)

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The sectarian unrest that broke out Oct. 9 shows how the Egyptian opposition's assumption of a move toward democracy is grinding against reality.

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Though Europe is working through its current woes, the question of whether this addresses the fundamental problem of Europe -- which is political and geopolitical -- remains.

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A trip to Iran could not come at a better time, geopolitically speaking, due to a variety of domestic and regional factors.

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The United States is moving into an election cycle, when foreign policy initiatives tend to be frozen. Given the dynamics of the Obama administration and this election, the freeze will be more intense than usual.

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Unification has no moral claim on Europe beyond promising prosperity and offering a path to avoid conflict. The problem arises when the prosperity stops.

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