Geopolitical Weekly

With its export-dependent economy faltering, and with limited military options, China must pursue a strategy of neutralizing the United States politically.

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U.S. strategy under President Barack Obama has returned to classic patterns, allowing the system to evolve as it will and so permitting a reduction in American efforts.

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In 1989-1991 the world changed, locking into place a long-term shift in the global balance of power.

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Those seeking regime change in Syria are trying to rid the country of Iranian influence without opening it up to transnational jihadism.

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The United States can remain in Afghanistan indefinitely but it cannot defeat the Taliban, and it has many important issues to attend to elsewhere.

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Increasingly, the European debt crisis is ceasing to be a Greek or Italian crisis. It is a crisis in the future role Germany will play in Europe.

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Rumors have emerged that the United States has offered Iran the possibility of negotiations. Given the knot that is being tied in the region, the rumors come as no surprise.

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The New Year begins where we expected: at the Strait of Hormuz.

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