Forecasts

The global recession's effects in the Middle East will vary from country to country. Russia will complicate U.S. goals in the region if necessary. Turkey will begin taking on a larger role, and Syria and Israel will continue progress toward normalization. This is one section of the 2009 Annual Forecast.

Europe will feel the effects of Russia's resurgence as Moscow attempts to play European states off of one another. Meanwhile, France will take advantage of other European players' distraction to become a major power broker. This is one section of the 2009 Annual Forecast.

The global recession has put China at some risk, but its currency reserves will give it room to maneuver. Meanwhile, Beijing will begin using the Chinese military in both foreign policy and internal security. This is one section of the 2009 Annual Forecast.

The global financial crisis will cause external capital supplies and demand for exports to continue plummeting in Latin America. Meanwhile, the drug cartel crisis in Mexico shows no signs of letting up. This is one section of the 2009 Annual Forecast.

Sub-Saharan Africa will continue feeling the effects of the global financial crisis, as development capital dries up and the raw materials African countries export sell for cheap. Angola, due to its newfound oil wealth, will emerge as a regional power. This is one section of the 2009 Annual Forecast.

Three issues will dominate the final quarter of 2008: the global financial crisis, U.S....

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