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The Ethiopia-Eritrea Boundary Commission (EEBC) has threatened to rule Nov. 30 that the demarcation it has drawn between Ethiopia and Eritrea will stand — a move that could provoke war between the two countries. War is not likely to come immediately, though, as Ethiopia remains heavily deployed in Somalia, and the commission, despite its threat, is likely to leave the door open for continued negotiations.
The internationally mandated EEBC, fed up with Ethiopian opposition to its current demarcation, could make a ruling by Nov. 30, a date the commission floated a year ago, should either side — particularly Ethiopia — prove unwilling to conclude negotiations. Because Eritrea accepts the current ruling, it is unlikely to be the one to attack in an effort to force a resolution of the border dispute.
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