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Thai and Cambodian troops exchanged gunfire Oct. 15 near a Hindu temple on a disputed section of their border that has been the focus of tensions and small troop buildups since July. Violence seems to have escalated from previous incidents, with reports of rockets fired from the Thai side and nearby civilians evacuating. Two Cambodians were killed in the fighting and 20 Thai troops were taken prisoner, Cambodian Foreign Minister Hor Namhong said.

Stratfor sources indicate that while fighting has stopped and accusations between Thai and Cambodian authorities are now being exchanged, the potential for serious armed conflict remains high. Thailand’s new Prime Minister Somchai Wongsawat is seeking to take advantage of the situation to drum up support for his ailing government.

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