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Somalia: An Imminent Offensive Against Al Shabaab?

MUSTAFA ABDI/AFP/Getty Images

Somali policemen in Mogadishu on Feb. 2

Somalia: An Imminent Offensive Against Al Shabaab?

February 8, 2010 2315 GMT

There has been a definite uptick in indicators that the Somali military, in concert with other forces, will soon go after the jihadist group. (With STRATFOR map) [more]

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Man-Portable Defense Systems

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CEO George Friedman on Forecasting

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This Week's Intelligence Guidance

A document distributed among our analysts that provides guidance on the week's key geopolitical events.

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The Political Shift in Ukraine

Ukraine's presidential run-off on Feb. 7 brought a narrow victory for former Prime Minister Victor Yanukovich over current Prime Minister Yulia Timoshenko. Results showed that Yanukovich -- who lost to Timoshenko and outgoing President Victor Yushchenko in the Orange Revolution of 2004 -- gained deeper support in some provinces, while Timoshenko shed support in others. But the fundamental issues that divide eastern Ukraine from the western half of the country appear to remain unbridged.

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Graphic of the Day

The Political Shift in Ukraine

Ukraine’s presidential run-off on Feb. 7 brought a narrow victory for former Prime Minister Victor Yanukovich over current Prime Minister Yulia Timoshenko. Results showed that Yanukovich — who lost to Timoshenko and outgoing President Victor Yushchenko in the Orange Revolution of 2004 — gained deeper support in some provinces, while Timoshenko shed support in others. But the fundamental issues that divide eastern Ukraine from the western half of the country appear to remain unbridged.

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The Kremlin Wars

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The Geopolitics of Israel: Biblical and Modern

Country: Israel

A Mountain Fortress Besieged

Country: Mexico

Video Dispatch: Reading Ukraine's Election

February 9, 2010 0054 GMT

A narrow win for Viktor Yanukovich, a former Ukrainian prime minister, marks a win for Russia, but Ukraine itself will remain politically fractured, analyst Marko Papic says. [more]

Mexico Security Memo: Feb. 8, 2010

February 8, 2010 2329 GMT

The Mexico Security Memo tracks and analyzes key incidents over the past week. (With STRATFOR interactive map) [more]

Thailand: Protests and Coup Rumors

February 8, 2010 2328 GMT

Thailand's United Front for Democracy Against Dictatorship is trying to sow instability in the country, but the group's abilities are weakening. [more]

U.K.: Out of Recession, Not Out of Trouble

February 8, 2010 1655 GMT

Despite numbers showing the United Kingdom has exited recession, the world's leading financial hub faces a tough road ahead. [more]

Intelligence Guidance: Week of Feb. 7, 2010

February 8, 2010 0034 GMT

The following is an internal STRATFOR document produced to provide high-level guidance to our analysts. [more]

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Situation Reports and Briefs

Venezuela: Chavez Skips UNASUR Conference

February 9, 2010 1625 GMT

Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez said he will not participate in a Feb. 9 conference of the Union of South American Nations (UNASUR) in Quito, Ecuador, El Nacional reported. Chavez said he considers his presence in Venezuela too important to attend the conference. Foreign Minister Nicolas Maduro will go instead.

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Iran: Deal With Media Ties As Crimes - Military Official

February 9, 2010 1603 GMT

France: NATO Concerned On Arms Deal With Russia

February 9, 2010 1603 GMT

Sri Lanka: President Dissolves Parliament

February 9, 2010 1552 GMT

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Germany's Choice

February 8, 2010 2326 GMT

As the economic situation in Greece worsens, Germany must make a tough decision with Continent-wide implications. [more]

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Iranian Proxies: An Intricate and Active Web

February 3, 2010 2013 GMT

New threads of information about Iran's proxy forces have recently come to light, and when the strands are tied together they make for a very interesting story. [more]

Geopolitical Diary