Geopolitical Diary

How History Shapes Western Attitudes Toward Immigration

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Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

On Obama and the Nature of Failed Presidencies

Global Affairs
By Robert D. Kaplan

The Realist Creed

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The Danger of Security Theater

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Analysis
Kidnapping Reveals FARC's Internal Divisions

Kidnapping Reveals FARC's Internal Divisions

France's Mistral Ship Deal with Russia Stirs More Controversy

France Looks to Complete Difficult Mistral Sale

Cameron Fails By-Election Test

Cameron Fails By-Election Test

Turkey's Legacy Shapes U.S. Negotiations

U.S. Diplomacy Tries to Break Turkish Isolation

A Chronology of Canada's Energy Export Woes

A Chronology of Canada's Energy Export Plans

Pro-Russian Activity Raises Concerns in Latvia

Pro-Russian Activity Raises Concerns in Latvia

Maps
Video
Field Notes
Stratfor In The News

Paul Floyd on the Search for ISIS Leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi

“When militaries are dealing with enemy networks, you find that no single personality is the sole keystone of that network … taking a key personality helps you in the short run but what you need to do is consistently take out leadership," said Paul Floyd, military analyst at the global intelligence firm Stratfor.

Fox News
Featured Analyst:

Lauren Goodrich on the Remaining Options for Sanctions Against Russia

There are only three sectors that matter much to Russia's political elite—military weaponry, banking and energy—and the U.S. and Europe are hard-pressed to find new ways to penalize those industries in ways that aren't overly drastic, according to Lauren Goodrich, senior Eurasia analyst at global intelligence and advisory firm Stratfor.

CNBC
Featured Analyst:
Situation/Intelligence Reports

Zimbabwe: Mugabe To Appoint Party Deputies

President Robert Mugabe has changed the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front's constitution to give himself the power to directly appoint his successor, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

Somalia: Kenyan Security Forces Kill 100 Militants

Kenyan security forces pursued al Shabaab militants into Somali territory, destroying their camp and killing 100 of them, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

Afghanistan: Suicide Bomber Kills 45

A suicide bomber detonated their explosive vest at a volleyball tournament in Afghanistan's Paktika province, killing some 45 spectators, Ynet News reported Nov. 23.

Germany: Government Could Close 8 More Coal Plants

The German government is working on new legislation to combat climate change that could force eight coal power plants to close, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

Egypt: Military Would Send Troops To Future Palestinian State

Egypt would send troops to help police and Israeli security forces keep order if a Palestinian state were created in the future, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

Syria: Jabhat Al-Nusra Takes Key Supply Route to Aleppo

Jabhat Al-Nusra forces seized the Syrian town of Zahra, a strategic point along the highway leading to Aleppo, The Daily Star Lebanon reported Nov. 23.

Israel: Security Forces Kill Palestinian Along Gaza Border

Israeli security forces shot and killed a Palestinian man approaching the Gaza strip's border with Israel on Nov. 23, Reuters reported.

Iraq, Syria: Some 550 Germans Have Joined Islamic State

Some 550 Germans have traveled to Iraq and Syria to fight alongside the Islamic State, and some 180 have returned home, the head of Germany's domestic intelligence agency said, newspaper Welt am Sonntag reported Nov. 23.

Afghanistan: Security Deals Advance In Parliament

The lower house of Afghanistan's parliament approved a bilateral security agreement with the United States and a status of forces agreement with NATO, Xinhua reported Nov. 23.

Iran: Nuclear Deadline Draws Near

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry met with Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif in Vienna for negotiations on limiting Iran's nuclear program, aiming to strike a deal before the Nov. 24 deadline, The Daily Star Lebanon reported Nov. 23.

U.S., Iran: 'Big Gaps' Still Remain In Nuclear Talks, Secretary of State Says

Six world powers and Iran still have serious differences in position hindering a final agreement on a nuclear deal, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said Nov. 22, RFE/RL reported.

Russia: West Seeks 'Regime Change' In Moscow, Foreign Minister Says

Moscow accused the West of trying to use sanctions to seek "regime change" in Russia, Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said Nov. 22, Reuters reported.

Armenia: Nagorno-Karabakh Mounts Operation To Recover Pilots' Bodies

Nagorno-Karabakh forces mounted an overnight operation to recover the bodies of three Armenian helicopter pilots, Nagorno-Karabakh military officials said Nov. 22, AP reported.

China: Central Bank Cuts Interest Rates

The People's Bank of China cut interest rates Nov. 21 in order to support small and medium-sized enterprises struggling to access credit, Chinese bank officials said, Reuters reported Nov. 22.

Guinea: WHO Declares Ebola Crisis Stable

The Ebola outbreak has stabilized in Guinea, where the crisis began, the World Health Organization said, BBC reported.

U.S.: Washington Increases Aid For Refugees

The United States pledged an additional $135 million in aid for refugees of the Syrian civil war on Nov. 22, U.S. Vice President Joe Biden's office said in a statement, Reuters reported.

Forecasts
2014 Fourth Quarter Forecast

Stratfor's Fourth Quarter Forecast 2014