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The European Union, Nationalism and the Crisis of Europe

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Jihadism in 2014: The Grassroots Threat

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Red Alert: Rocket Fire Could Signal New Offensive on Mariupol

Stratfor has declared a Red Alert over Ukraine as we watch for signs of a new offensive. We do not yet know Russia’s strategic intentions. Reports of rocket fire and potential moves on the city of Mariupol could simply be an attempt to signal the danger Russia could pose to their negotiating partners in the West. It could be an attempt to extend the pocket separatists supported by Russia currently hold in eastern Ukraine. It could, finally, be the opening of an offensive toward Crimea.

India Prepares for Obama's Upcoming Visit

Despite India's request for more U.S. support, Obama's visit will not fundamentally alter New Delhi's relationship with Washington or its allies.

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Stratfor In The News
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Kamran Bokhari on Sectarian Chaos in Yemen

"... effectively the Houthis are kingmakers. While they do not dominate Yemen, they control the largest piece of real estate and they are the single-largest group," said Kamran Bokhari, an adviser on Middle Eastern and South Asian Affairs for Stratfor.

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Fred Burton on Europe's Terrorist Threat

Live interview with Stratfor's vice president of intelligence on "Shepard Smith Reporting" to provide commentary on the terrorist threat facing Europe in the wake of the recent Charlie Hebdo attack in Paris.

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Situation/Intelligence Reports

Yemen: President Withdraws Resignation, Advisor Says

Yemeni President Abd Rabboh Mansour Hadi has withdrawn his offer to resign, one of his advisors said, Xinhua reported Jan. 25.

Greece: Syriza Party Wins Parliamentary Elections

Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras called the leader of Greece's anti-austerity Syriza party, Alexis Tsipras, to congratulate him on his party's success in the country's Jan. 25 parliamentary elections, Reuters reported.

Libya: Rebels Kidnap Deputy Foreign Minister Ahead Of Geneva Talks

Rebel fighters kidnapped Hassan al-Saghir, the deputy foreign minister of Libya's internationally recognized government, in the eastern city of Al Bayda early Jan. 25, Xinhua reported.

Central African Republic: Youth And Sport Minister Kidnapped

Armed men kidnapped Central African Republic Minister for Youth and Sport Armel Mingatoloum Sayo in Bangui early Jan. 25 before speeding away in an unmarked taxi cab, Sayo's wife said, France24 reported.

Philippines: Rebel Fighters Kill Some 30 Police Commandos

Fighters for the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, or MILF, killed some 30 police commandos searching for a criminal suspect in the southern Philippine village of Tukanalipao, Al Jazeera reported Jan. 25.

Libya: Ansar Al-Sharia Branch Chief's Death Confirmed

Libya's branch of Ansar al-Sharia confirmed the death of its leader, Mohammed al-Zahawi, on Jan. 24, France24 reported Jan. 25.

Egypt: 12 Killed In Protests Marking Anniversary Of 2011 Uprising

Egyptian security forces killed 12 protestors at events throughout the country marking the four-year anniversary of the Egyptian uprising, Al Jazeera reported Jan. 25.

Greece: Exit Polls Indicate Likely Syriza Win

Exit polls indicate a clear victory for the anti-austerity Syriza party in Greece's Jan. 25 parliamentary elections, ATENA TV reported.

India: Deal On Nuclear Energy Reached With United States

India and the United States have reached a deal on nuclear trade, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced Jan. 25, Reuters reported.

Ukraine: Leaders React To Recent Fighting

Russia is ready to push for a peaceful resolution to the conflict in eastern Ukraine, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov told U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry in a Jan. 25 phone call, a statement from Russia's foreign ministry said, Reuters reported.

Nigeria: Boko Haram Attacks Cities Of Maiduguri, Monguno

Boko Haram militants attacked the city of Maiduguri, the capital of Borno state in northwest Nigeria, on Jan. 25, Reuters reported.

Venezuela: Opposition March Stops After Police Scuffle

Several thousand opposition supporters marched in Caracas on Jan. 24 but stopped prematurely after scuffles broke out between police and students, opposition leaders said, Bloomberg reported.

Iraq: Kurdish Forces Fire Rockets Into Mosul

Kurdish forces fired rockets at Islamic State militants in the northern city of Mosul, Iraq, Kurdish military sources said Jan. 24, Reuters reported.

Yemen: Southern Movement Seizes Parts Of Southern Cities

Southern Movement gunmen seized six checkpoints in Ataq, the capital of Shabwa province, southern Yemen, on Jan. 24, witnesses said, AFP reported.

Ukraine: President Condemns Shelling Of Mariupol

Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko condemned the shelling of Mariupol on Jan. 24 after abruptly ending a trip to Saudi Arabia to return to Ukraine, the president said, UNIAN reported.

Japan: Islamic State Purportedly Executes One Japanese Hostage

A video released Jan. 24 purported to show the execution of of Haruna Yukawa, one of two Japanese nationals held captive by the Islamic State, a watchdog of extremist groups said, Newsweek reported.

Ukraine: Separatists Begin Offensive On Mariupol

A pro-Russia separatist offensive on the city of Mariupol, Ukraine, began on Jan. 24, the head of the self-proclaimed Dontesk People's Republic said, RIA Novosti reported.

Yemen: Thousands Protest Against Al-Houthi Militias In Sanaa

Up to 10,000 Yemenis marched in Sanaa on Jan. 24 in opposition to al-Houthi militias' control of the capital, witnesses said, Reuters reported.


Annual Forecast 2015

Oil markets, economic stagnation in China and Europe, and Russia's struggle to maintain a buffer zone in its periphery will drive global events in 2015.