Geopolitical Diary

How History Shapes Western Attitudes Toward Immigration

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Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

On Obama and the Nature of Failed Presidencies

Global Affairs
By Robert D. Kaplan

The Realist Creed

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The Danger of Security Theater

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Analysis
Kidnapping Reveals FARC's Internal Divisions

Kidnapping Reveals FARC's Internal Divisions

France's Mistral Ship Deal with Russia Stirs More Controversy

France Looks to Complete Difficult Mistral Sale

Cameron Fails By-Election Test

Cameron Fails By-Election Test

Turkey's Legacy Shapes U.S. Negotiations

U.S. Diplomacy Tries to Break Turkish Isolation

A Chronology of Canada's Energy Export Woes

A Chronology of Canada's Energy Export Plans

Pro-Russian Activity Raises Concerns in Latvia

Pro-Russian Activity Raises Concerns in Latvia

Maps
Video
Field Notes
Stratfor In The News

Paul Floyd on the Search for ISIS Leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi

“When militaries are dealing with enemy networks, you find that no single personality is the sole keystone of that network … taking a key personality helps you in the short run but what you need to do is consistently take out leadership," said Paul Floyd, military analyst at the global intelligence firm Stratfor.

Fox News
Featured Analyst:

Lauren Goodrich on the Remaining Options for Sanctions Against Russia

There are only three sectors that matter much to Russia's political elite—military weaponry, banking and energy—and the U.S. and Europe are hard-pressed to find new ways to penalize those industries in ways that aren't overly drastic, according to Lauren Goodrich, senior Eurasia analyst at global intelligence and advisory firm Stratfor.

CNBC
Featured Analyst:
Situation/Intelligence Reports

Tunisia: Presidential Election Underway

Tunisians are voting to elect the nations first president since former President Zine El Abidine Ben Ali was ousted in 2011, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

Burkina Faso: Transition Government Named

Burkina Faso has appointed leaders to fill 26 posts in the transitional government, a Nov. 23 statement from the government said, France 24 reported.

Nigeria: Boko Haram Attack Kills 48 Near Chadian Border

Boko Haram launched an attack near Doron Baga on Nov. 20, killing some 48 fish traders on their way to buy fish in Chad, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

U.S.: Troops To Remain in Baltics Until Next Year

The U.S. military will maintain troop levels in the Baltics for at least another year to deter Russian aggression, a top U.S. Army commander said, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

Sudan: U.N. Mission Asked to Leave, U.N. Official Says

The Sudanese government has asked the joint African Union-U.N. peacekeeping mission operating in Darfur to leave, a U.N. official said, WRAL reported Nov. 23.

Israel: Cabinet Approves Nationality Bill

Israel's Cabinet approved a bill that defines the country as the nation-state of the Jewish people and removes Arabic as one of its official languages, Al Jazeera reported Nov. 23.

Zimbabwe: Mugabe To Appoint Party Deputies

President Robert Mugabe has changed the Zimbabwe African National Union-Patriotic Front's constitution to give himself the power to directly appoint his successor, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

Somalia: Kenyan Security Forces Kill 100 Militants

Kenyan security forces pursued al Shabaab militants into Somali territory, destroying their camp and killing 100 of them, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

Afghanistan: Suicide Bomber Kills 45

A suicide bomber detonated their explosive vest at a volleyball tournament in Afghanistan's Paktika province, killing some 45 spectators, Ynet News reported Nov. 23.

Germany: Government Could Close 8 More Coal Plants

The German government is working on new legislation to combat climate change that could force eight coal power plants to close, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

Egypt: Military Would Send Troops To Future Palestinian State

Egypt would send troops to help police and Israeli security forces keep order if a Palestinian state were created in the future, Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi said, Reuters reported Nov. 23.

Syria: Jabhat Al-Nusra Takes Key Supply Route to Aleppo

Jabhat Al-Nusra forces seized the Syrian town of Zahra, a strategic point along the highway leading to Aleppo, The Daily Star Lebanon reported Nov. 23.

Israel: Security Forces Kill Palestinian Along Gaza Border

Israeli security forces shot and killed a Palestinian man approaching the Gaza strip's border with Israel on Nov. 23, Reuters reported.

Iraq, Syria: Some 550 Germans Have Joined Islamic State

Some 550 Germans have traveled to Iraq and Syria to fight alongside the Islamic State, and some 180 have returned home, the head of Germany's domestic intelligence agency said, newspaper Welt am Sonntag reported Nov. 23.

Afghanistan: Security Deals Advance In Parliament

The lower house of Afghanistan's parliament approved a bilateral security agreement with the United States and a status of forces agreement with NATO, Xinhua reported Nov. 23.

Iran: Nuclear Deadline Draws Near

U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry met with Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif in Vienna for negotiations on limiting Iran's nuclear program, aiming to strike a deal before the Nov. 24 deadline, The Daily Star Lebanon reported Nov. 23.

Forecasts
2014 Fourth Quarter Forecast

Stratfor's Fourth Quarter Forecast 2014