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NATO Finds Balance in Eastern Europe

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By George Friedman

The Islamic State Reshapes the Middle East

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By Robert D. Kaplan

The Realist Creed

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U.S. Naval Update Map: Nov. 27, 2014

U.S. Naval Update Map: Nov. 27, 2014

Ambitious European Investment Fund Unveiled

Long-Awaited European Investment Fund Unveiled

Intelligence Report

Syria: Damascus Shares Intelligence with Washington

North Korean Talks Revive Russia's Pacific Push

North Korean Talks Revive Russia's Pacific Push

Protesters hold flags and placards during a rally in front of the parliament building in Budapest on Nov.17.

In Central Europe, Governments Are Caught in the Middle

Russia Suspends Coal Exports to Ukraine

Russia Suspends Coal Exports to Ukraine

Field Notes
Stratfor In The News
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Stratfor's Reva Bhalla on the U.S.-Iran Nuclear Negotiations

“Rouhani has been facing rising dissent, not just from the traditional IRGC [Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps] camp, but from a large segment of the public that is growing disillusioned with his policy because they’re not seeing the level of economic relief they were promised,” said Reva Bhalla, the vice president of global analysis at the geopolitical intelligence firm, Stratfor.

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Situation/Intelligence Reports

OPEC: Production Target Remains Unchanged

OPEC has left its oil output ceiling at 30 million barrels per day, Bloomberg reported Nov. 27.

Afghanistan: Violence Continues In Kabul

A large explosion struck central Kabul on Nov. 27, not long after a suicide car bombing targeting a British Embassy vehicle killed six people, Al Arabiya reported.

EU: New Sanctions Imposed Over Ukraine Crisis

The European Union has imposed new sanctions on 13 individuals and businesses connected to the separatist Ukrainian areas of Donetsk and Luhansk, Sputnik News reported Nov. 27, citing a report from RIA Novosti.

Iraq: Bombing Kills 7 In Baghdad's Sadr City

At least seven people were killed when a bomb exploded in a minibus in a mainly Shiite area of Baghdad, Al Jazeera reported Nov. 27.

Thailand: Election Postponed Until 2016

A general election in Thailand initially scheduled for next year will be pushed back to 2016, Reuters reported Nov. 27, citing comments from Thai Deputy Prime Minister Prawit Wongsuwan.

Afghanistan: Suicide Attack Targets British Embassy Workers

A British Embassy worker and an Afghan member of embassy staff were killed in a suicide attack in Kabul, BBC reported Nov. 27.

Syria: Damascus Shares Intelligence with Washington

The United States will avoid overt cooperation with Damascus but will use its relationships in the Middle East to focus its mission against the Islamic State.

Cameroon: Military Frees 16 Hostages From FDPC Militants

Cameroon's military freed 16 hostages, among them a Polish priest, from Democratic Front of the Central African People (FDPC) militants, the government announced Nov. 26, News24 reported.

Qatar: Training Syrian Rebels With U.S. Help

The Qatari military, with help from the United States, is covertly training moderate Syrian rebels to fight the Islamic State and Syrian government forces, Reuters reported Nov. 26.

Colombia: FARC To Release General, President Confirms

Rebels fighting for the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC) will release Brig. Gen. Ruben Dario Alzate on Nov. 29, Colombian President Juan Manuel Santos confirmed, LA F.M. reported Nov. 26.

Ukraine: Russia Unlikely To Send Peacekeepers, U.N. Envoy Says

Russia is unlikely to send peacekeepers to Ukraine in response to a request by the self proclaimed Donetsk People's Republic, Russia's U.N. envoy Vitaly Churkin said Nov. 26, Itar-Tass reported.

Venezuela: Foreign Currency Distribution Network Stopped, Report Says

One of Venezuela's mechanisms to sell foreign currency to firms that request it, the Sicad 1, has not had an auction in since Oct. 14, when it dispersed some $550 million, Ultima Noticias reported Nov. 26.

France: Hollande To Sign Arms Deals With Egypt

French President Francois Hollande is set to sign military cooperation deals with Egyptian President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi, including a 1 billion euros contract to sell four Gowind warships to the Egyptian navy, Anadolu Agency reported Nov. 26.

Yemen: Blast Halts Oil Flow

Oil exports on the Red Sea coast came to a stop after armed tribesmen blew up a section of Yemen's Marib pipeline, the country's main oil pipeline, officials said Nov. 26, AFP reported.

Libya: Rival Government Wants To Attend Oil Meeting

Both Libya's internationally recognized government and a rival government want to attend the Nov. 27 OPEC meeting in Vienna, Reuters reported Nov. 26.

EU: New Investment Plan Unveiled

European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker presented an investment plan to help spur the economy, EU Business reported Nov. 26.

2014 Fourth Quarter Forecast

Stratfor's Fourth Quarter Forecast 2014