Geopolitical Diary

How History Shapes Western Attitudes Toward Immigration

Editor's Choice
Geopolitical Weekly
By George Friedman

On Obama and the Nature of Failed Presidencies

Global Affairs
By Robert D. Kaplan

The Realist Creed

Security Weekly

The Danger of Security Theater

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Cameron Fails By-Election Test

Cameron Fails By-Election Test

Turkey's Legacy Shapes U.S. Negotiations

U.S. Diplomacy Tries to Break Turkish Isolation

A Chronology of Canada's Energy Export Woes

A Chronology of Canada's Energy Export Plans

Pro-Russian Activity Raises Concerns in Latvia

Pro-Russian Activity Raises Concerns in Latvia

U.S. Naval Update Map: Nov. 20, 2014

U.S. Naval Update Map: Nov. 20, 2014

Car Bombing In Arbil Shows Strength of Kurdish Security Measures

Kurdish Security Withstands Militant Attack

Field Notes
Stratfor In The News

Paul Floyd on the Search for ISIS Leader Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi

“When militaries are dealing with enemy networks, you find that no single personality is the sole keystone of that network … taking a key personality helps you in the short run but what you need to do is consistently take out leadership," said Paul Floyd, military analyst at the global intelligence firm Stratfor.

Fox News
Featured Analyst:

Lauren Goodrich on the Remaining Options for Sanctions Against Russia

There are only three sectors that matter much to Russia's political elite—military weaponry, banking and energy—and the U.S. and Europe are hard-pressed to find new ways to penalize those industries in ways that aren't overly drastic, according to Lauren Goodrich, senior Eurasia analyst at global intelligence and advisory firm Stratfor.

Featured Analyst:
Situation/Intelligence Reports

Iran: Foreign Minister To Continue Negotiations

Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif will stay in Vienna to continue negotiations over Iran's nuclear program instead of returning to Tehran for consultations, as was previously planned, RIA Novosti reported Nov. 21, citing an unnamed Iranian source.

Ukraine: 5 Parties Form Ruling Coalition

Five Ukrainian parties have joined together to form a ruling coalition after two weeks of negotiations, Itar-Tass reported Nov. 21.

Israel: Energy Minister Pitches Natural Gas Pipeline Project To Europe

Israel has proposed that EU countries invest in a multibillion-dollar natural gas pipeline to reduce Europe's current dependence on Russian supply by purchasing from Israel, Times of Israel reported Nov. 20.

Pakistan: U.S. Drone Strike Kills 6

A U.S. drone strike killed six suspected militants in northwestern Pakistan, Reuters reported Nov. 21, citing security officials.

Nicaragua: Construction Of Canal To Begin In December

Hong Kong-based company HKND Group will begin constructing a canal in Nicaragua linking the Atlantic and Pacific oceans Dec. 22, BBC reported Nov. 20.

U.S.: President Halts Deportation Of Millions

Millions of undocumented immigrants, including those with children who are U.S. citizens or U.S. permanent residents, will be given work permits and will not be targeted for deportation, U.S. President Barack Obama said in televised speech Nov. 20, National Public Radio reported.

Japan: Lower House Of Parliament Dissolved

Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe officially dissolved the lower house of parliament Nov. 21, Market Watch reported.

U.S.: Non-Lethal Military Aid To Ukraine Will Increase, Officials Say

The United States is expected to expand non-lethal military assistance to Ukraine, U.S. officials said Nov. 20, Reuters reported.

Iran: Nuclear Deal Deadline Could Be Extended, Officials Say

The deadline for negotiating a deal over Iran's nuclear program may be extended from Nov. 24 to March 2015, Reuters reported Nov. 20, citing unnamed officials.

Sweden: Opposition Could Block 2015 Budget

The Sweden Democrats party is considering blocking the country's draft 2015 budget proposed by the center-left governing coalition over concerns that more funding will be directed toward immigrants, Svenska Dagbladet reported Nov. 19.

Germany: Fracking Bill Prepared For Parliament

A draft bill to allow the commercial use of hydraulic fracturing — a method of natural gas extraction — is in development and should be presented to the German parliament before the end of the year, if strict environmental rules are met, FAZ reported Nov. 20.

Hungary: South Stream Only Way To Ensure Gas Supply, Leader Says

Hungary sees the Russia-backed South Stream natural gas pipeline as the only option to ensure the country's energy supply, an unnamed senior Hungarian official said, Reuters reported Nov. 19.

Egypt: Policemen Wounded In Cairo Attack

A bomb exploded near a Cairo university Nov. 20, wounding five policemen, AFP reported, citing Egyptian security officials.

Russia: Official Warns U.S. Not To Supply Weapons To Ukraine

The United States would violate international agreements and destabilize the situation if it supplied weapons to Ukrainian forces, Russian Foreign Ministry spokesman Alexander Lukashevich said, Reuters reported Nov. 20.

Israel, Palestinian Territories: Gaza Militants Test Rockets

Palestinian militants in Gaza test-fired rockets into the Mediterranean Sea, AP reported Nov. 20, citing Israel Defense Forces.

Colombia: Negotiators Agree To Release General

Delegates from the Revolutionary Forces of Colombia (FARC) in Havana, Cuba said they will release Brig. Gen Ruben Dario Alzate, who was taken prisoner last week, under certain conditions, a statement on an official FARC website said Nov. 19.

2014 Fourth Quarter Forecast

Stratfor's Fourth Quarter Forecast 2014